Little Leighs Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Little Leighs Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Belle Fourche Bay J:Neil Callan T:David Omeara	J:Neil Callan T:David Omeara	140	tv	-30873	70	80	55	7d	—	—	-4	13.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On a fair mark and latest Wolverhampton 3rd was better; can be slowly away; others safer
7 (1)	Lady Nagin Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:S Woods	J:Marco Ghiani T:S Woods	129	—	406594	60	74	47	11d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Signs of a return to form at Wolverhampton recently; dangerous mark if building on it
3 (3)	Puntarelle Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Jonathan Portman	J:Ross Coakley T:Jonathan Portman	138	p	785738	69	76	51	21d	—	—	-8	13	0.88/1	7/2 22%
7f win here in April; headgear helped on penultimate run; pulled hard latest; drops to 6f
2 (5)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Iain Jardine	J:Darragh Keenan T:Iain Jardine	138	—	246126	68	76	-	12d	—	—	0	18.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Can be excused latest effort and she was in good form beforehand; one to take seriously
8 (8)	Sassy Redhead Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:William Stone	J:Daniel Muscutt T:William Stone	125	—	154975	56	74	56	14d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner; sharper for last month's return and D Muscutt replaces an apprentice this time
4 (7)	Zina Colada b/br J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	132	—	4041	63	76	-	24d	—	—	+6	15.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Yarmouth win on h'cap debut last month could be misleading; is at least unexposed
NR (6)	Willingly Chestnut J:TBC T:Mark Usher	J: T:Mark Usher	131	b	-45234	61	77	-	10d	—	—	-13	16.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two sound efforts since returning to this yard; has form on Polytrack; each-way claims
5 (4)	Kodias Sangarius Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Henry Spiller	J:Jack Mitchell T:Henry Spiller	132	—	-27544	62	79	69	65d	—	—	-1	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Slipped to a good mark and a short break may have freshened her up; interesting
9 (2)	Snow Berry Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	123	p	768134	53	74	-	25d	—	—	+5	9.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Won a classified event in August; two sound efforts since but this is a tougher task

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Belle Fourche	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	4
Lady Nagin	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Puntarelle	10/3	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Giselles Izzy	5	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
Sassy Redhead	13/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	6
Zina Colada	9	8	8	8	8
Willingly	8	9	17/2	9	9
Kodias Sangarius	12	11	10	12/1	12
Snow Berry	25	20	22/1	22/1	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Giselles Izzy

18.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Willingly

16.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 9.2

17/2

3rd

Zina Colada

15.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

Belle Fourche

13.8

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Puntarelle

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Snow Berry

9.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2

Lady Nagin

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kodias Sangarius

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Sassy Redhead

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Belle Fourche	70	80	55
Puntarelle	69	76	51
Giselles Izzy	68	76	—
Zina Colada	63	76	—
Kodias Sangarius	62	79	69
Willingly	61	77	—
Lady Nagin	60	74	47
Sassy Redhead	56	74	56
Snow Berry	53	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Belle Fourche	7d ago	Quick return
Willingly	10d ago	Quick return
Lady Nagin	11d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	12d ago	Quick return
Sassy Redhead	14d ago	Fit
Puntarelle	21d ago	Fit
Zina Colada	24d ago	Fit
Snow Berry	25d ago	Fit
Kodias Sangarius	65d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Willingly	Prominent
Zina Colada	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.