DragonBet Welsh Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)

Ffos Las

3:20

Date 2023-10-15

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £26,015

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Strong Leader b J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	166	—	11192-	143	148	134	184d	—	—	+23	44.9	11/4 27%
Good novice form last season; decent opening handicap mark; ground a query
3	Nemean Lion b J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	158	—	1231-	135	148	133	225d	—	—	+25	44.6	3 33%
Won good Kelso novice in March; handicap debut and ground should be ideal
4	Gin Coco b J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	158	—	/2120-	135	150	133	212d	—	—	+20	35.7	9/2 18%
Major claims on his Cheltenham second last November but ground may be too soft
2	Faivoir b J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	162	—	5/4P1-	139	147	126	212d	—	—	+15	25.1	15/2 12%
Won major Cheltenham handicap in March; 5lb higher; acts on very soft ground
8	Fiveonefive b J:Jack Tudor T:Cian Collins	J:Jack Tudor T:Cian Collins	152	—	6-1216	129	147	130	—	—	—	+13	22.3	17/2 11%
Chances on his Cartmel win in July but soft ground might be a problem
9	El Muchacho gr J:Bradley Harris(5) T:Milton Harris	J:Bradley Harris(5) T:Milton Harris	146	ht	20325-	123	148	125	169d	—	—	+18	26.5	11/1 8%
Progressive at a moderate level last season; acts on soft/heavy; could play leading role
10	Moriko De Vassy b J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	146	—	8/26P-	123	145	-	258d	—	—	+15	19.6	16 6%
Struggled over fences last season; enough to prove on stable debut
5	Anyharminasking b J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	156	—	1/634-	133	153	128	310d	—	—	+24	29.1	16 6%
Possibilities if ready after ten months off; this mark shouldn't prove beyond him
7	Effernock Fizz b J:Carl Millar(7) T:Cian Collins	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Cian Collins	154	tp	2P2234	131	150	124	25d	—	—	+23	27	28 4%
Won this last year but doesn't seem to be quite the same force now
6	Carbon King bl J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	156	—	13116-	133	141	122	184d	—	—	+34	36.2	50 2%
Three Irish handicap wins last season; this might be tough enough on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Strong Leader	5/2	3	3	3	11/4
Nemean Lion	3	3	3	3	3
Gin Coco	9/2	4	4	4	9/2
Faivoir	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Fiveonefive	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
El Muchacho	11	10	10/1	10	11/1
Moriko De Vassy	16	16	14	16	16
Anyharminasking	16	14	14	16	14
Effernock Fizz	25	25	28	28	25/1
Carbon King	50	40	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strong Leader

44.9

OR: 23.3 Form: 15 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Nemean Lion

44.6

OR: 21.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Carbon King

36.2

OR: 20.8 Form: 14.9 Odds: 0.6

Gin Coco

35.7

OR: 21.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Anyharminasking

29.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Effernock Fizz

OR: 20.3 Form: 5.8 Odds: 1

El Muchacho

26.5

OR: 18.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Faivoir

25.1

OR: 22.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Fiveonefive

22.3

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Moriko De Vassy

19.6

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strong Leader Top Rated	143	148	134
Faivoir	139	147	126
Nemean Lion	135	148	133
Gin Coco	135	150	133
Anyharminasking	133	153	128
Carbon King	133	141	122
Effernock Fizz	131	150	124
Fiveonefive	129	147	130
El Muchacho	123	148	125
Moriko De Vassy	123	145	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Effernock Fizz	25d ago	Fit
El Muchacho	169d ago	Long break
Strong Leader	184d ago	Long break
Carbon King	184d ago	Long break
Gin Coco	212d ago	Long break
Faivoir	212d ago	Long break
Nemean Lion	225d ago	Long break
Moriko De Vassy	258d ago	Long break
Anyharminasking	310d ago	Long break
Fiveonefive	—	—