Castlelake Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap

Goodwood

3:35

Date 2023-10-15

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £8,191

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (7)	Amancio b J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	124	—	6532	67	86	73	20d	—	—	-7	19.4	2 50%
Heading in the right direction, second to promising newcomer most recently
4 (1)	Sleven b J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	129	t	55248	72	83	66	36d	—	—	-7	14.2	11/4 27%
May improve for this drop back to 7f with tongue-tie applied
NR (6)	First Encore b J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	135	—	635	78	77	61	38d	—	—	-6	15.3	11/2 15%
Looks well treated on peak effort; interesting on nursery debut
3 (4)	Hug A Tree b J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	129	—	332	72	76	57	25d	—	—	+5	17.7	13/2 13%
Placed in all three runs; another creditable effort is on the cards
9 (3)	Land Of Magic b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	120	h	501596	63	84	84	18d	—	—	-2	9.6	13/2 13%
Seemed a non-stayer over 7f the last twice; opposed
NR (9)	Daring Legend b J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	p	0464	71	82	69	38d	—	—	-7	10.3	15/2 12%
Encouraging effort last time and that form has been boosted
8 (8)	Mad Punter b J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	121	b	7806	64	75	62	6d	—	—	-3	6.2	15/2 12%
Chance partly depends on whether he responds well to headgear
2 (5)	Deep Blue b J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	130	—	346	73	79	53	18d	—	—	+3	9	12 8%
Open to improvement now handicapping and returned to turf
7 (2)	Queues Likely b J:David Probert T:J S Moore	J:David Probert T:J S Moore	123	b	571467	66	82	77	8d	—	—	+2	8.7	12 8%
5f winner who has something to prove over this new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Amancio	2	2	2	2	2
Sleven	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
First Encore	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Hug A Tree	13/2	6	6	6	6
Land Of Magic	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Daring Legend	7	15/2	7	7	7
Mad Punter	8	15/2	8	8	8
Deep Blue	12	11	11	11/1	12
Queues Likely	12	12	12	12	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Amancio

19.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8

2nd

Hug A Tree

17.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

First Encore

15.3

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

11/2

Sleven

14.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Daring Legend

10.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

15/2

Land Of Magic

9.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Deep Blue

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Queues Likely

8.7

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Mad Punter

6.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Encore Top Rated	78	77	61
Deep Blue	73	79	53
Sleven	72	83	66
Hug A Tree	72	76	57
Daring Legend	71	82	69
Amancio	67	86	73
Queues Likely	66	82	77
Mad Punter	64	75	62
Land Of Magic	63	84	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mad Punter	6d ago	Quick return
Queues Likely	8d ago	Quick return
Land Of Magic	18d ago	Fit
Deep Blue	18d ago	Fit
Amancio	20d ago	Fit
Hug A Tree	25d ago	Fit
Sleven	36d ago	Fit
First Encore	38d ago	Fit
Daring Legend	38d ago	Fit