Colm White Bookmaker November Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Naas

5:10

Date 2023-10-15

Distance 2m31y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €53,100

Runners (17)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (9)	Brogue b J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	131	—	025/01	89	96	92	20d	—	—	+1	13.1	13/2 13%
Relished stamina test at Down Royal and form franked since; shortlisted
9 (5)	Whiskey Sour b J:W J Lee T:W P Mullins	J:W J Lee T:W P Mullins	127	t	/800-5	85	100	95	—	—	—	0	12.1	13/2 13%
Down the field in this race last year off 90 but recent form encouraging; place claims
7 (15)	Filey Bay b J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Emmet Mullins	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Emmet Mullins	129	ht	816	87	96	28	—	—	—	+3	22	7/2 22%
Tramore maiden winner whose opening mark looks on the high side; ground concerns too
17 (7)	Stoke The Fire b J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:W P Mullins	119	p	54/222	77	98	86	32d	—	—	0	9.4	15/2 12%
Maiden didn't convince over this trip at Tramore; this stamina test could prove beyond him
1 (4)	Teed Up b J:Ben Coen T:Emmet Mullins	J:Ben Coen T:Emmet Mullins	140	—	2-2120	98	104	91	21d	—	—	+11	17.4	12 8%
Cesarewitch also-ran; headgear combination tried now ditched; top-weight has it to do
15 (17)	Immelmann b J:Seamie Heffernan T:W P Mullins	J:Seamie Heffernan T:W P Mullins	122	—	/60761	80	101	57	10d	—	—	+13	19.4	12 8%
Relished stamina test for Thurles maiden win; could go well off light weight
11 (3)	Raving Royal b J:Colin Keane T:W P Mullins	J:Colin Keane T:W P Mullins	125	—	39401-	83	-	46	374d	—	—	+14	20.8	12 8%
Thurles maiden win a year reads well; has to be respected despite long absence
2 (14)	Powerful Aggie b J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	138	b	3-5160	96	103	78	76d	—	—	+7	16	14 7%
Last year's third off 89 seemingly has it to do off this mark
10 (16)	Prairie Dancer b J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	125	b	1606/5	83	96	55	38d	—	—	+5	9.6	16 6%
Not at best this year and plenty to find on recent Clonmel run
16 (1)	Flamborough ch J:Andrew Slattery T:Thomas Gibney	J:Andrew Slattery T:Thomas Gibney	121	—	72551-	79	97	75	—	—	—	+14	20.7	11 9%
Soft-ground Catterick winner for the Johnston's; back from hurdling and others preferred
8 (2)	Lord Erskine b J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:H Rogers	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:H Rogers	129	b	016541	87	95	67	21d	—	—	+18	22.6	20 5%
Recent Curragh winner loves these conditions; 8lb higher but has to be respected
14 (12)	Crassus b J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	122	—	/37314	80	102	92	21d	—	—	+14	17.6	28 4%
Held by Lord Erskine on Curragh run; bit find now off career-high mark
3 (11)	Drop The Anchor b J:N G McCullagh T:P A Fahy	J:N G McCullagh T:P A Fahy	134	—	751-40	92	102	49	21d	—	—	+8	11.4	28 4%
Last year's winner off 84; light campaign this term and lots to find on Cesarewitch run
12 (10)	Belgoprince ch J:James Ryan(5) T:A J Martin	J:James Ryan(5) T:A J Martin	122	t	081214	80	102	82	38d	—	—	+17	21	33 3%
Best of form is on better ground; not one to rule out although stiff mark at present
6 (13)	Mon Coeur b J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	130	—	222170	88	99	94	21d	—	—	+13	18.6	14 7%
Didn't seem to get home in Cesarewitch latest; stamina concerns persist
NR (6)	Cozone b J:TBC T:Matthew J Smith	J: T:Matthew J Smith	122	b	4-6000	80	95	25	2d	—	—	-2	11.4	33 3%
Ideally wants better ground; strong-traveller will need to settle to see this out
4 (8)	Lunar Power ch J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Noel Meade	132	b	/9182-	90	102	41	—	—	—	+17	21	28 4%
Absent since Ballinrobe hurdles win in May; ground has gone against him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Brogue	13/2	6	13/2	6	6
Whiskey Sour	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Filey Bay	4	4	4	7/2	7/2
Stoke The Fire	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Teed Up	12	12	11	12	12
Immelmann	12	11	11	10	12
Raving Royal	12	11	12	11	12
Powerful Aggie	14	14	12	8	14
Prairie Dancer	14	16	14	14	14
Flamborough	11	11	11	11	11
Lord Erskine	20	16	18	14	18
Crassus	28	20	20	22	22
Drop The Anchor	28	22	25	25	28
Belgoprince	33	20	22	22	25
Mon Coeur	14	14	12	14	14
Cozone	33	33	33	33	33
Lunar Power	28	25	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Erskine

22.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.4

2nd

Filey Bay

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Belgoprince

OR: 7.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1

Lunar Power

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Raving Royal

20.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.9

Flamborough

20.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

Immelmann

19.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Mon Coeur

18.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.6

Crassus

17.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1

Teed Up

17.4

OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Powerful Aggie

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Brogue

13.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Whiskey Sour

12.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Drop The Anchor

11.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Cozone

11.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.9

Prairie Dancer

9.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Stoke The Fire

9.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Teed Up Top Rated	98	104	91
Powerful Aggie	96	103	78
Drop The Anchor	92	102	49
Lunar Power	90	102	41
Brogue	89	96	92
Mon Coeur	88	99	94
Filey Bay	87	96	28
Lord Erskine	87	95	67
Whiskey Sour	85	100	95
Raving Royal	83	—	46
Prairie Dancer	83	96	55
Immelmann	80	101	57
Crassus	80	102	92
Belgoprince	80	102	82
Cozone	80	95	25
Flamborough	79	97	75
Stoke The Fire	77	98	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cozone	2d ago	Quick return
Immelmann	10d ago	Quick return
Brogue	20d ago	Fit
Teed Up	21d ago	Fit
Lord Erskine	21d ago	Fit
Crassus	21d ago	Fit
Drop The Anchor	21d ago	Fit
Mon Coeur	21d ago	Fit
Stoke The Fire	32d ago	Fit
Prairie Dancer	38d ago	Fit
Belgoprince	38d ago	Fit
Powerful Aggie	76d ago	Fresh
Raving Royal	374d ago	Long break
Whiskey Sour	—	—
Filey Bay	—	—
Flamborough	—	—
Lunar Power	—	—