British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

14:25

British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 6f3y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Pen Portrait Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	—	31	-	81	53	21d	—	—	-9	21.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Won 6f Wolverhampton novice latest; not taken lightly with further progress on the cards
7 (8)	Mukaafah Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-23	10.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Blue Point colt; yard can ready them so this debutant can't be ruled out
NR (2)	Barone Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Son of No Nay Never; lots to like on paper and in excellent hands; interesting newcomer
6 (1)	Moswaat Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	130	—	3	-	90	-	12d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Promising start when clear third in 6f Kempton novice; seems sure to improve; big player
5 (9)	Fenlander Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Pam Sly	J:Shane Kelly T:Pam Sly	130	—	65	-	82	54	66d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Fifth in 6f Newmarket maiden in August; may do better still so needs considering
1 (4)	Cross The Tracks Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Spencer	J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Spencer	137	—	10	81	83	46	18d	—	—	+7	17.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D debut winner but faced stiff task at Newmarket since; much respected now
9 (7)	Tennessee Gold Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	130	—	6	-	67	33	73d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Beat only one in novice at Newmarket on his debut in August; significantly more is needed
8 (6)	Rogue Fighter Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	130	—	8	-	65	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Always behind when eighth on his debut in 6f Kempton novice 24 days ago; lots more needed
10 (3)	Dire Wolf Bay J:Jason Watson T:Adam West	J:Jason Watson T:Adam West	125	—	05	-	61	25	54d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Fifth of ten in 7f Kempton novice in August; she needs to take another step forward
4 (10)	Beach Point Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	130	—	80	-	67	-	24d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Modest form shown in two 7f novices thus far; he needs to take a big step forward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pen Portrait	15/8	15/8	2	15/8	15/8
Mukaafah	13/8	13/8	7/4	6/4	13/8
Barone	3	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Moswaat	5	9/2	5/1	4/1	9/2
Fenlander	9/1	11	11/1	11	11/1
Cross The Tracks	11/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	9/1
Tennessee Gold	20/1	20	22	20	20/1
Rogue Fighter	33/1	28	28	28	28
Dire Wolf	80/1	100	100	100	100
Beach Point	250/1	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pen Portrait

21.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Cross The Tracks

17.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

11/1

3rd

Mukaafah

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

7/4

Moswaat

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Barone

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Fenlander

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Tennessee Gold

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Rogue Fighter

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Dire Wolf

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Beach Point

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cross The Tracks	81	83	46
Pen Portrait	—	81	53
Mukaafah	—	—	—
Barone	—	—	—
Moswaat	—	90	—
Fenlander	—	82	54
Tennessee Gold	—	67	33
Rogue Fighter	—	65	—
Dire Wolf	—	61	25
Beach Point	—	67	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moswaat	12d ago	Quick return
Cross The Tracks	18d ago	Fit
Pen Portrait	21d ago	Fit
Rogue Fighter	24d ago	Fit
Beach Point	24d ago	Fit
Dire Wolf	54d ago	Fresh
Fenlander	66d ago	Fresh
Tennessee Gold	73d ago	Fresh
Mukaafah	—	—
Barone	—	—