Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 12.31s (slow by 1.21s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Annie Law (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	4/1	Won
2nd	Revolucion (GB) Neil Callan · Joseph Parr	11/4F	0.2
3rd	Gatwick Kitten (USA) Oisin Murphy · Ed Dunlop	12/1	0.1
4th	First Company (IRE) Luke Morris · Mark Loughnane	9/1	0.05
5th	Reve De Magritte (FR) Rossa Ryan · Ed de Giles	7/1	1
6th	Bugle Beads (GB) David Egan · John Butler	50/1	.75
7th	Oriental Spirit (GB) Callum Shepherd · Stuart Kittow	100/30	0.2
7th	Romantic Memories (GB) Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	125/1	0
9th	Haulfronhobbs (GB) Adam Farragher · Chris Dwyer	12/1	1.25
10th	Run Cmc (IRE) Finley Marsh · Patrick Chamings	22/1	.5
11th	Wiley Post (GB) Hollie Doyle · Tony Carroll	12/1	.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (11)	Oriental Spirit Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	131	t	946394	56	76	65	24d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
C&D winner from a moderate draw in 2022; well treated and looked in good form here latest
6 (1)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Joseph Parr	J:Neil Callan T:Joseph Parr	133	v	-83936	59	75	58	20d	—	—	-7	10.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Maiden; below best on Tapeta latest but claims on earlier Polytrack form at 6f
1 (10)	Annie Law Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	136	—	331220	62	68	-	52d	—	—	0	17.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won 7f handicap debut here; weights claims on turf form since; in the mix back on AW
9 (6)	Reve De Magritte Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed De Giles	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed De Giles	130	—	446303	55	73	56	12d	—	—	-7	11	1.13/1	9/2 18%
AW winner in France; two good runs from last 3 starts, close 3rd over C&D latest
4 (5)	First Company Bay J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	024372	58	73	67	24d	—	—	+3	12	2.25/1	10 10%
Vulnerable in handicaps since sole win as 3yo but should be involved on latest C&D run
8 (4)	Wiley Post Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	131	b	536757	56	75	-	21d	—	—	-3	4	3.25/1	14 7%
Dropped in weights since latest AW run in January but 6f form is intermittent these days
5 (3)	Gatwick Kitten Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	133	t	141687	58	72	52	12d	—	—	+1	6.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-6 on AW but handles Polytrack; latest 6f turf win under O Murphy, back in saddle today
11 (2)	Haulfronhobbs Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Chris Dwyer	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Chris Dwyer	120	p	936264	46	72	60	32d	—	—	-1	4.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Hampered when 6th on C&D handicap debut; slowly away next time; capable of better
2 (7)	Run Cmc Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Chamings	J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Chamings	134	—	762675	60	70	-	52d	—	—	0	5.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Poorly treated when first handicapping; fair debut for new yard; form may yet settle down
3 (9)	Bugle Beads Bay J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	134	h	5656	60	70	-	77d	—	—	0	3.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Showed 6f promise for W Haggas; well held on 7f handicap debut (soft); sold 35,000gns
10 (8)	Romantic Memories Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	122	—	9597-0	47	65	-	82d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Possibilities on best 6f form on turf but beaten long way on reappearance in July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Oriental Spirit	10/3	10/3	3	4	3
Revolucion	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Annie Law	9/2	4	4	4	4
Reve De Magritte	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
First Company	10	17/2	17/2	15/2	9
Wiley Post	10	14	14	10	14
Gatwick Kitten	12	14/1	14/1	12	14
Haulfronhobbs	14	14	14	12	16
Run Cmc	20	20	12	22	20
Bugle Beads	33	40/1	40	25	40
Romantic Memories	50	66	66	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Annie Law

17.8

OR: 3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

First Company

OR: 2 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.5

3rd

Reve De Magritte

OR: 1.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Revolucion

10.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

Oriental Spirit

8.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Gatwick Kitten

6.6

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Run Cmc

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Haulfronhobbs

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.6

Wiley Post

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

Bugle Beads

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Romantic Memories

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Annie Law	62	68	—
Run Cmc	60	70	—
Bugle Beads	60	70	—
Revolucion	59	75	58
First Company	58	73	67
Gatwick Kitten	58	72	52
Oriental Spirit	56	76	65
Wiley Post	56	75	—
Reve De Magritte	55	73	56
Romantic Memories	47	65	—
Haulfronhobbs	46	72	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Reve De Magritte	12d ago	Quick return
Gatwick Kitten	12d ago	Quick return
Revolucion	20d ago	Fit
Wiley Post	21d ago	Fit
Oriental Spirit	24d ago	Fit
First Company	24d ago	Fit
Haulfronhobbs	32d ago	Fit
Annie Law	52d ago	Fresh
Run Cmc	52d ago	Fresh
Bugle Beads	77d ago	Fresh
Romantic Memories	82d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.