Kempton (AW)

19:00

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Date 2023-10-16
Distance 7f
Class Class 4
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £6,281

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (9)
Elzaam Blue
Bay
J:David Egan
T:Jamie Osborne
J:David Egan
T:Jamie Osborne
141 110021
86
92
70
12d +9
31.2
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Made it 4-12 on AW when reeling in an improver over C&D last time; respected
4 (3)
Hieronymus
Bay
J:Kevin Stott
T:George Baker
J:Kevin Stott
T:George Baker
138 p 05-002
83
92
63
10d -2
12.3
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Back from another break with a good second at Ascot and has claims if he can back that up
7 (11)
Brasil Power
Bay
J:William Buick
T:George Boughey
J:William Buick
T:George Boughey
136 tv -17351
81
94
73
37d +12
24.9
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Made it 3-6 on AW when scoring over C&D last month; big player again up 4lb
3 (6)
Animate
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
140 p 132089
87
92
82
25d +3
14.7
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Mixed form since his Tapeta win in May and needs to get back near best; headgear reapplied
1 (7)
Farasi Lane
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Tom Ward
J:Sean Levey
T:Tom Ward
141 v 319226
86
91
72
15d +10
19.7
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Didn't fire at Epsom last time but he was in good form before that; in the mix back on AW
5 (5)
Caragio
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Roger Teal
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Roger Teal
137 p 4-0506
84
88
-
38d +2
11.2
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Mark is falling but he has something to prove and is untried on AW
8 (2)
Follow Your Heart
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Mark Loughnane
J:Luke Morris
T:Mark Loughnane
135 t 170063
80
92
74
19d +6
12.2
2.50/1
11
9%
Five-time AW winner who was a close third over C&D last time; each-way claims again
10 (10)
Lord Uhtred
Bay
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Charles Hills
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Charles Hills
131 b 567737
78
93
67
11d +3
11.5
2.50/1
11
9%
C&D winner but he's 0-6 in handicaps and was laboured last time; blinkers are now added
11 (1)
Verdansk
Bay
J:Trevor Whelan
T:Henry Candy
J:Trevor Whelan
T:Henry Candy
130 353-30
77
88
-
142d +3
8.4
3.25/1
14
7%
Still has potential but has a bit to prove for new yard after 142 days off; been gelded.
9 (8)
Eden Storm
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Marco Botti
J:Neil Callan
T:Marco Botti
135 5128
82
88
56
29d +14
17.4
9.75/1
40
3%
Struggled on his handicap debut at Doncaster and he needs to kick on again back on AW
6 (4)
Al Khazneh
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Saeed Bin Suroor
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Saeed Bin Suroor
137 v 466978
84
86
52
62d +6
9.4
8.00/1
33
3%
On dangerous mark but he's now 1-12 and needs a major revival
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Elzaam Blue
10/3 10/3 10/3 7/2 10/3
Hieronymus
9/2 9/2 9/2 11/2 9/2
Brasil Power
13/2 11/2 11/2 6 11/2
Animate
7 13/2 6 6 13/2
Farasi Lane
9 8 8 8 17/2
Caragio
15/2 8 8 15/2 8
Follow Your Heart
11 11 11 11 11
Lord Uhtred
17/2 11 11 8 11
Verdansk
14 14 14 12 14
Eden Storm
33 33 28/1 40 33
Al Khazneh
25 33 33 22 33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Elzaam Blue
31.2
OR: 9 Form: 15.5 Odds: 6.7
7/2
2nd Brasil Power
24.9
OR: 7.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6
13/2
3rd Farasi Lane
19.7
OR: 9 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7
17/2
4 Eden Storm
17.4
OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.9
40
5 Animate
14.7
OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3
13/2
6 Hieronymus
12.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
7 Follow Your Heart
12.2
OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7
11
8 Lord Uhtred
11.5
OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4
11
9 Caragio
11.2
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
10 Al Khazneh
9.4
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33
11 Verdansk
8.4
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
14

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Animate
87
92
82
Elzaam Blue
86
92
70
Farasi Lane
86
91
72
Caragio
84
88
Al Khazneh
84
86
52
Hieronymus
83
92
63
Eden Storm
82
88
56
Brasil Power
81
94
73
Follow Your Heart
80
92
74
Lord Uhtred
78
93
67
Verdansk
77
88

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Hieronymus 10d ago Quick return
Lord Uhtred 11d ago Quick return
Elzaam Blue 12d ago Quick return
Farasi Lane 15d ago Fit
Follow Your Heart 19d ago Fit
Animate 25d ago Fit
Eden Storm 29d ago Fit
Brasil Power 37d ago Fit
Caragio 38d ago Fit
Al Khazneh 62d ago Fresh
Verdansk 142d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.