Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (12)	Kodi Red b/br J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	131	—	7-0046	80	-	-	14d	—	—	-43	27.5	—	—
Non-runner
2 (3)	Celtic Champion Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	136	—	-51506	85	97	69	23d	—	—	-7	19.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Dual 6f winner who finished close up in a Class 4 at Newmarket last time; dangerous
7 (2)	Conquistador Bay J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	133	ht	137584	82	94	74	10d	—	—	-4	13.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well held at Ascot latest but he's 2-4 on AW and looks interesting back at this trip
1 (5)	Expert Agent Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	136	p	117433	85	96	76	46d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+7	19.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3-6 on AW and was a creditable third in Racing League event at Newcastle latest; respected
6 (9)	Buccabay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	405451	82	99	-	33d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+10	21.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Resumed his progress with a clearcut win at Bath and he's a big player again up 5lb
9 (4)	Rock Opera Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	131	—	122-44	80	90	-	16d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Lightly raced 3yo who had an excuse last time and is not ruled out on his AW debut
3 (6)	Walking On Clouds Bay J:Kevin Stott T:John Butler	J:Kevin Stott T:John Butler	135	—	791364	83	95	64	39d	—	—	+5	15.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Five-time AW winner who made a solid start for his new yard at Wolverhampton; in the mix
8 (1)	Tolstoy Bay J:Neil Callan T:Stuart Williams	J:Neil Callan T:Stuart Williams	132	—	881949	80	96	66	4d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Emphatic win at Brighton last month but things have not gone well since; others preferred
NR (11)	Burstow Bay J:David Egan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:David Egan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	134	b	7-1806	83	91	75	72d	—	—	-41	28.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Ex-French 3yo who has struggled in both runs for current yard and needs a major revival
12 (8)	Lulworth Cove Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	130	—	216069	79	96	67	46d	—	—	+6	10.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Dual AW winner but she's not easy to predict and was always behind at Chelmsford latest
11 (7)	Algheed Bay J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	736065	78	97	85	24d	—	—	+5	8.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Four-time AW winner who is only 1lb higher than for last success; in the mix
4 (10)	Clearpoint Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	135	—	08-509	84	92	-	16d	—	—	+7	9.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Won his first two 2yo runs but has been disappointing since; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kodi Red	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Celtic Champion	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Conquistador	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	4
Expert Agent	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Buccabay	13/2	11/2	6	7	6
Rock Opera	8	9	9	8	9
Walking On Clouds	8	15/2	13/2	11	17/2
Tolstoy	10	9	10	10	10
Burstow	25	20	20	18	20
Lulworth Cove	16	20	20	22	18
Algheed	25	25	25	20	28
Clearpoint	40	40	40	28	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Burstow

28.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Kodi Red

27.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Buccabay

21.3

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Celtic Champion

19.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 8

5/2

Expert Agent

19.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Walking On Clouds

15.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.9

Conquistador

13.6

OR: 8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5

7/2

Tolstoy

12.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Lulworth Cove

10.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.2

Rock Opera

9.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Clearpoint

9.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Algheed

8.6

OR: 7 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Celtic Champion	85	97	69
Expert Agent	85	96	76
Clearpoint	84	92	—
Walking On Clouds	83	95	64
Burstow	83	91	75
Conquistador	82	94	74
Buccabay	82	99	—
Kodi Red	80	—	—
Rock Opera	80	90	—
Tolstoy	80	96	66
Lulworth Cove	79	96	67
Algheed	78	97	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tolstoy	4d ago	Quick return
Conquistador	10d ago	Quick return
Kodi Red	14d ago	Fit
Rock Opera	16d ago	Fit
Clearpoint	16d ago	Fit
Celtic Champion	23d ago	Fit
Algheed	24d ago	Fit
Buccabay	33d ago	Fit
Walking On Clouds	39d ago	Fit
Expert Agent	46d ago	Fresh
Lulworth Cove	46d ago	Fresh
Burstow	72d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Celtic Champion	Prominent
Expert Agent	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.