Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Encourager Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	—	5	-	76	41	24d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Made a promising start from a tough draw over C&D last month and he's in the mix
10 (7)	Western Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	133	—	530	78	86	-	23d	—	—	-8	16.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Had tough task last time and he sets the standard on his penultimate form; key player
3 (4)	Extra Beat Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	133	—	6	-	78	-	26d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Looked inexperienced at Sandown and he should know more this time; likely improver
6 (9)	Munasir Chestnut J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	51	-	96d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well held in one run in Ireland and has tough draw for new yard; market will guide
8 (2)	Rakki Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Plenty to like on paper and interesting to see how he figures in market
1 (10)	Combat Power Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Haf-brother to five winners and he needs watching in market on debut
9 (3)	Screaming Eagle Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	133	—	9	-	52	-	26d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Has good pedigree but he didn't show much at a biggish price at Sandown (1m) last month
4 (5)	Harry Did Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Yard 2-38 with 2yos this season and he could be a longer-term prospect
5 (6)	Highland Slipper Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	133	—	57	-	71	-	26d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Showed some promise at Leicester but he failed to build on that at Sandown; down the list
7 (8)	Never Dream Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Dougie Costello T:Marcus Tregoning	133	—	86	-	60	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Big prices and has finished in rear in two runs at Salisbury; remains best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Encourager	7/4	7/4	13/8	7/4	7/4
Western	11/4	11/4	9/4	11/4	11/4
Extra Beat	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Munasir	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Rakki	11	12	12	12	12
Combat Power	9	12	12	12	12
Screaming Eagle	28	20	20	20	20
Harry Did	33	22	22	22	22
Highland Slipper	28	28	25	28	25
Never Dream	40	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Western

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Encourager

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Extra Beat

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Munasir

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Combat Power

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Rakki

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Screaming Eagle

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Harry Did

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Highland Slipper

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Never Dream

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Western	78	86	—
Encourager	—	76	41
Extra Beat	—	78	—
Munasir	—	51	—
Rakki	—	—	—
Combat Power	—	—	—
Screaming Eagle	—	52	—
Harry Did	—	—	—
Highland Slipper	—	71	—
Never Dream	—	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Never Dream	11d ago	Quick return
Western	23d ago	Fit
Encourager	24d ago	Fit
Extra Beat	26d ago	Fit
Screaming Eagle	26d ago	Fit
Highland Slipper	26d ago	Fit
Munasir	96d ago	Long break
Rakki	—	—
Combat Power	—	—
Harry Did	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.