Racing TV Apprentice Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

16:20

Date 2023-10-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 12.48s (slow by 1.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Holkham Bay (GB) Brandon Wilkie · William Knight	15/2	Won
2nd	Intervention (GB) Aiden Brookes · Michael Appleby	15/8F	1.25
3rd	Tyger Bay (GB) Joe Leavy · Conrad Allen	9/1	5
4th	Libra Tiger (GB) Alex Jary · Ed Walker	9/1	1
5th	Song Of Success (GB) Morgan Cole · James Fanshawe	7/1	1.5
6th	Skallywag Bay (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	9/2	.75
7th	Dynamic Talent (GB) Luke Catton · Darryll Holland	40/1	0.3
8th	Hello Zabeel (IRE) William Pyle · Michael Blake	22/1	1.5
9th	Phoenix Star (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Jessica Macey	11/1	.5
10th	Mohareb (GB) Mr Bradley Furniss · Michael Appleby	16/1	1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (11)	Lady Dreamer Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Ward	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Ward	141	tv	139823	72	76	-	22d	—	—	-37	32.6	—	—
Placed 3 times in handicaps since a novice win in July; no excuses off this mark last time
8 (4)	Intervention Bay J:Aiden Brookes T:Michael Appleby	J:Aiden Brookes T:Michael Appleby	141	hp	783764	71	77	58	22d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-11	13.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Yet to shine after a summer break but there have been excuses; return to 6f a plus; chance
2 (1)	Skallywag Bay Grey J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	143	—	123229	74	78	45	46d	—	—	+3	18.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner who's 2-2 on AW; in good form prior to latest Chester run where she had excuses
5 (5)	Holkham Bay Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	141	—	-29077	72	79	57	22d	—	—	-1	9.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yet to shine in handicaps, with or without headgear; down in weights but vulnerable again
3 (7)	Tyger Bay Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Conrad Allen	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Conrad Allen	142	tb	554560	72	79	62	22d	—	—	-1	7.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Dangerous mark and this multiple C&D winner needs serious consideration
7 (6)	Song Of Success Bay J:Morgan Cole T:James Fanshawe	J:Morgan Cole T:James Fanshawe	141	—	535331	72	75	57	25d	—	—	+13	22.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dictated when landing 7f h'cap at Wolverhampton latest; 2lb rise fair but this is tougher
9 (3)	Libra Tiger Chestnut J:Alex Jary(3) T:Ed Walker	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Ed Walker	141	—	221885	71	77	-	33d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unable to build on a ready 5f win at Sandown in July; looks a bit high in the weights
11 (2)	Phoenix Star Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Jessica Macey	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Jessica Macey	128	p	547011	58	82	64	19d	—	—	+12	21.9	1.75/1	8 13%
Chasing a hat-trick after two 5f wins at Newcastle for Tommie Jakes; four-time C&D winner
1 (9)	Hello Zabeel Bay J:William Pyle T:Michael Blake	J:William Pyle T:Michael Blake	143	—	153556	73	79	73	44d	—	—	+2	8.4	3.25/1	14 7%
2-4 on AW; on last winning mark and this trip more suitable than last time; not ruled out
4 (8)	Mohareb Bay J:Bradley Furniss(5) T:Michael Appleby	J:Bradley Furniss(5) T:Michael Appleby	142	—	-46602	72	81	66	18d	—	—	+7	11.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Chased home an improver at Chelmsford last time; on losing run but holds each-way claims
10 (10)	Dynamic Talent Bay J:Luke Catton T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Catton T:Darryll Holland	141	tb	766080	71	78	58	126d	—	—	+4	5.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Three 7f AW wins last term but he's not found his sparkle this year; too much to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Dreamer	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Intervention	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Skallywag Bay	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Holkham Bay	8	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Tyger Bay	8	8	17/2	8	8
Song Of Success	8	8	8	8	15/2
Libra Tiger	9	17/2	9	17/2	17/2
Phoenix Star	8	8	8	8	8
Hello Zabeel	14	12	11	12	12
Mohareb	20	16	16	16	14
Dynamic Talent	50	40	40	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Dreamer

32.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Song Of Success

22.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 14.2 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Phoenix Star

21.9

OR: 2 Form: 17 Odds: 2.9

Skallywag Bay

18.3

OR: 6 Form: 7.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Intervention

13.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Mohareb

11.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Libra Tiger

11.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Holkham Bay

9.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hello Zabeel

8.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

Tyger Bay

7.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dynamic Talent

5.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Skallywag Bay	74	78	45
Hello Zabeel	73	79	73
Lady Dreamer	72	76	—
Holkham Bay	72	79	57
Tyger Bay	72	79	62
Song Of Success	72	75	57
Mohareb	72	81	66
Intervention	71	77	58
Libra Tiger	71	77	—
Dynamic Talent	71	78	58
Phoenix Star	58	82	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mohareb	18d ago	Fit
Phoenix Star	19d ago	Fit
Lady Dreamer	22d ago	Fit
Intervention	22d ago	Fit
Holkham Bay	22d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	22d ago	Fit
Song Of Success	25d ago	Fit
Libra Tiger	33d ago	Fit
Hello Zabeel	44d ago	Fit
Skallywag Bay	46d ago	Fresh
Dynamic Talent	126d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.