Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Winning Time 1m 9.68s (fast by 0.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Batal Dubai (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Harry & Roger Charlton	2/1F	Won
2nd	Almaty Star (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	5/1	1.5
3rd	Cuban Breeze (GB) Ben Curtis · David Evans	4/1	.5
4th	Musical Tribute (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Harry Eustace	11/2	1.75
5th	Inanna (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	100/1	1.5
6th	Live In The Moment (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	12/1	0.3
7th	Fast And Loose (GB) David Probert · Kevin Ryan	10/1	3
8th	Mellys Flyer (GB) Luke Morris · Charlie Wallis	125/1	3.25
9th	Onemorenomore (GB) Adam Farragher · Philip McBride	10/1	1.5
10th	Via Corone (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Henry Spiller	22/1	8.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	139	—	710734	87	99	86	12d	—	—	-8	22.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Dual Newcastle winner, but a good third over C&D last month and now 3lb lower
5 (1)	Musical Tribute Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	132	b	333319	80	96	84	30d	—	—	+5	22.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won easily over C&D last month, but well held off this mark last time; something to find
6 (7)	Almaty Star Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	132	h	-26414	80	98	79	9d	—	—	+3	20.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second and first in two starts on Polytrack; possibilities now back on the AW
7 (6)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	130	v	750962	77	97	77	7d	—	—	+2	15.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Losing run 23, but nearly beat a bang-in-form rival over C&D a week ago; 2lb well in
1 (9)	Live In The Moment Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	139	b	364010	86	96	-	33d	—	—	+11	17.9	2.75/1	12 8%
5f winner here; this is easier back on the AW, but others are still more persuasive
4 (8)	Fast And Loose Bay J:David Probert T:Kevin Ryan	J:David Probert T:Kevin Ryan	132	b	-36300	79	96	-	26d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.75/1	16 6%
1-16; well held the last twice which raises doubts despite the drop in grade
10 (10)	Onemorenomore Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	118	b	554312	66	96	74	10d	—	—	+13	19.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Done well since dropped to sprinting but needs things to fall right from the outside stall
3 (2)	Via Corone Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Henry Spiller	J:Jack Mitchell T:Henry Spiller	138	—	1-25	86	85	-	118d	—	—	+11	17.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Polytrack winner who makes her stable debut after four months off; watch market
9 (3)	Mellys Flyer Bay J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	125	h	150840	72	91	78	12d	—	—	+4	5.9	12.25/1	50 2%
3lb below last winning mark, but needs to better his recent stable debut
8 (4)	Inanna Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	126	—	550920	74	93	53	8d	—	—	+9	9.8	16.25/1	66 2%
Beaten a neck at Yarmouth last month, but didn't back it up at Kempton eight days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Batal Dubai	7/4	15/8	15/8	7/4	2
Musical Tribute	9/2	7/2	9/2	4	4
Almaty Star	7/2	11/2	5	9/2	9/2
Cuban Breeze	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Live In The Moment	12	12	11	11	11
Fast And Loose	16	16	14	12	12
Onemorenomore	16	12	14	14	14
Via Corone	16	14	12	12	12
Mellys Flyer	50	50	50	50	50
Inanna	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Batal Dubai

22.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Musical Tribute

22.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Almaty Star

20.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5

11/2

Onemorenomore

19.2

OR: 4 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

Live In The Moment

17.9

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Via Corone

17.7

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Cuban Breeze

15.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Fast And Loose

11.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

Inanna

9.8

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

Mellys Flyer

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Batal Dubai	87	99	86
Live In The Moment	86	96	—
Via Corone	86	85	—
Musical Tribute	80	96	84
Almaty Star	80	98	79
Fast And Loose	79	96	—
Cuban Breeze	77	97	77
Inanna	74	93	53
Mellys Flyer	72	91	78
Onemorenomore	66	96	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cuban Breeze	7d ago	Quick return
Inanna	8d ago	Quick return
Almaty Star	9d ago	Quick return
Onemorenomore	10d ago	Quick return
Batal Dubai	12d ago	Quick return
Mellys Flyer	12d ago	Quick return
Fast And Loose	26d ago	Fit
Musical Tribute	30d ago	Fit
Live In The Moment	33d ago	Fit
Via Corone	118d ago	Long break