Trustatrader trustatrader.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kempton

14:55

Date 2023-10-22

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,901

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Destroytheevidence Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	161	p	53-312	122	130	101	19d	—	—	+3	24.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won by 10l at Worcester in May and not discredited when well-held second this month
4	Beachcomber Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	154	—	410-5	-	125	79	23d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Impressive bumper winner in February and shaped with promise on recent hurdling debut
6	Monks Meadow Brown J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	F-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	10.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Bought for £60,000 after Irish point second in April; market may guide on rules debut
NR	Presenting Nelly Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	159	t	6/3411	108	115	101	30d	—	—	-40	34.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won two mares' races last month; has more on her plate here but further progress possible
7	Much Too Dear Chestnut J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Laura Horsfall	154	—	7536-2	109	125	113	174d	—	—	+10	23.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lacks the potential of some of these but ran well when second over C&D in May; e-w claims
1	Songo Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Milton Harris	J:Harry Cobden T:Milton Harris	166	h	U4/117	120	121	92	50d	—	—	+9	20.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Easily won two Newton Abbot novice hurdles in summer; should go well, despite big penalty
5	Deerstalker Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	154	—	F0-	-	-	-	178d	—	—	-7	2.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Unlucky not to win a point in March but made low-key bumper debut the following month
8	Capstan Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Lydia Richards	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Lydia Richards	152	h	P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Pulled up on last season's hurdling debut and not at full strength on the Flat lately
9	Tiger Blade Bay J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	152	—	6-6	-	-	-	162d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Made quite promising bumper debut in April but his second run was a backward step

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Destroytheevidence	3	3	3	3	11/4
Beachcomber	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4
Monks Meadow	3	3	3	3	11/4
Presenting Nelly	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Much Too Dear	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Songo	8	8	9	8	9
Deerstalker	10	10	12	11/1	14
Capstan	80	66	80	80	80
Tiger Blade	150	125	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Presenting Nelly

34.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

13/2

2nd

Destroytheevidence

24.2

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Much Too Dear

23.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

13/2

Songo

20.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Monks Meadow

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Beachcomber

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Deerstalker

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Capstan

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Tiger Blade

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Destroytheevidence	122	130	101
Songo	120	121	92
Much Too Dear	109	125	113
Presenting Nelly	108	115	101
Beachcomber	—	125	79
Monks Meadow	—	—	—
Deerstalker	—	—	—
Capstan	—	—	—
Tiger Blade	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destroytheevidence	19d ago	Fit
Beachcomber	23d ago	Fit
Presenting Nelly	30d ago	Fit
Songo	50d ago	Fresh
Tiger Blade	162d ago	Long break
Much Too Dear	174d ago	Long break
Deerstalker	178d ago	Long break
Monks Meadow	—	—
Capstan	—	—