Dublin To Bahrain October Handicap (Premier Handicap) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

17:05

Dublin To Bahrain October Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Date 2023-10-22

Distance 1m4f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners (19)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (11)	Smooth Tom Bay J:W J Lee T:Andrew Slattery	J:W J Lee T:Andrew Slattery	132	v	812972	91	107	83	—	—	—	+10	22.4	11/2 15%
C&D winner on testing ground and won a decent maiden hurdle last time out
1 (15)	Chally Chute Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	140	—	1-3130	99	106	93	28d	—	—	+11	22.3	13/2 13%
Progressive 5yo and probably better than he showed in the Irish Cesarewitch
9 (3)	Brogue Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	130	—	25/016	89	98	93	7d	—	—	+1	13.4	13/2 13%
Fared well to be sixth in the face of his stiffest test yet in strong 2m handicap at Naas
8 (10)	Imaginarium Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	131	b	21-863	90	105	85	31d	—	—	+4	12.5	15/2 12%
Finished behind some of these at Galway and perhaps placed at best
4 (4)	Alexandroupolis Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	136	—	1-369	101	99	77	36d	—	—	+14	22	11 9%
Not yet exposed and has to be of interest on his handicap debut
11 (5)	Gulf Of Mexico Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:A P Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:A P Obrien	125	b	2314-	90	100	66	365d	—	—	+16	21.6	14 7%
Fourth in a Group 3 12 months ago; off since but top connections have kept the faith
NR (13)	Moracana Bay J:TBC T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J: T:Ms Sheila Lavery	137	—	0-1456	96	105	96	59d	—	—	+6	13.7	17/2 11%
Won a major 1m5f handicap on soft ground here last September; even better this season
17 (12)	Eastern Legend Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	120	tp	513133	85	101	94	7d	—	—	+14	24.6	15/2 12%
Consistent but can hang for pressure and this represents a stiff rise in class
16 (1)	Solar Breeze Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	121	—	160961	80	103	88	18d	—	—	+15	18.6	20 5%
Trotted home at Navan (1m2f); further to go this time and off a 15lb higher mark
12 (6)	Whileuweresleeping Grey J:Shane Foley T:E J Oneill	J:Shane Foley T:E J Oneill	125	—	1517-9	84	104	54	23d	—	—	+6	9.5	25 4%
Perhaps needed her AW run after a year off; interesting on her French form
13 (19)	Luke Short Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Noel Meade	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Noel Meade	124	p	-32931	83	95	86	9d	—	—	+17	24.4	11 9%
Good AW winner last week; goes on soft ground but anything deeper seems to find him out
2 (7)	Star Harbour Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	139	v	816412	98	104	93	9d	—	—	+23	27.1	20 5%
An in-form 5yo who will go on the ground but this is tougher than he's accustomed to
5 (18)	Sionnach Eile Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	136	h	-97550	95	105	87	28d	—	—	+8	12.6	16 6%
Behind Chally Chute in his last two runs, though 2m1f was perhaps beyond last time
15 (8)	Crassus Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	121	—	373147	80	103	93	7d	—	—	+6	16.3	10 10%
Strong stayer who is likely to be finishing his race out well back over 1m4f
18 (2)	Dream Escape Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Thomas Mullins	119	—	-65091	78	99	59	22d	—	—	+14	18	22 5%
Will handle the conditions but this demands a career best by some margin
6 (16)	Cristal Clere Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:John J Nallen	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:John J Nallen	134	—	211158	93	107	74	21d	—	—	+17	22.1	16 6%
Had a good year already but current mark looks an issue judged on last two runs
14 (9)	Vischio Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:R Donohoe	J:Mikey Sheehy T:R Donohoe	124	—	511628	83	105	82	15d	—	—	+15	17.5	33 3%
Probably playing for the places after a quiet run at the Curragh two weeks ago
10 (14)	Soaring Monarch Bay J:Ben Coen T:Peter Fahey	J:Ben Coen T:Peter Fahey	128	—	0-1009	87	107	92	42d	—	—	+5	10.9	18 6%
Goes up in trip after being held in three strong handicaps since his winning return
19 (17)	Out On Friday Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Philip M Byrne	J:Nathan Crosse T:Philip M Byrne	119	—	454210	78	102	93	27d	—	—	+15	17	100 1%
Tailed off behind Brogue last time and not ideal being 3lb out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Smooth Tom	6	11/2	6	6	6
Chally Chute	13/2	6	6	13/2	7
Brogue	13/2	6	7	7	7
Imaginarium	8	15/2	8	8	8
Alexandroupolis	11	10	10	11	11
Gulf Of Mexico	14	14	14	14	12
Moracana	9	17/2	9	9	9
Eastern Legend	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2	7
Solar Breeze	20	18	18	20	20
Whileuweresleeping	25	22	25	25	25
Luke Short	10	10	10	10	11
Star Harbour	20	20	20	20	20
Sionnach Eile	16	14	16	16	16
Crassus	9	9	9	9	10
Dream Escape	22	22	22	22	22
Cristal Clere	16	14	14	16	16
Vischio	33	33	28	33	33
Soaring Monarch	16	18	12	16	16
Out On Friday	100	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Harbour

27.1

OR: 12 Form: 14 Odds: 1.1

2nd

Eastern Legend

24.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Luke Short

24.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 14.2 Odds: 1.9

Smooth Tom

22.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Chally Chute

22.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Cristal Clere

22.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

Alexandroupolis

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

Gulf Of Mexico

21.6

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

Solar Breeze

18.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Dream Escape

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Vischio

17.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

Out On Friday

OR: 7 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.5

100

Crassus

16.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.9

Moracana

13.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Brogue

13.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Sionnach Eile

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Imaginarium

12.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Soaring Monarch

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Whileuweresleeping

9.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alexandroupolis	101	99	77
Chally Chute	99	106	93
Star Harbour	98	104	93
Moracana	96	105	96
Sionnach Eile	95	105	87
Cristal Clere	93	107	74
Smooth Tom	91	107	83
Imaginarium	90	105	85
Gulf Of Mexico	90	100	66
Brogue	89	98	93
Soaring Monarch	87	107	92
Eastern Legend	85	101	94
Whileuweresleeping	84	104	54
Luke Short	83	95	86
Vischio	83	105	82
Solar Breeze	80	103	88
Crassus	80	103	93
Dream Escape	78	99	59
Out On Friday	78	102	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brogue	7d ago	Quick return
Eastern Legend	7d ago	Quick return
Crassus	7d ago	Quick return
Luke Short	9d ago	Quick return
Star Harbour	9d ago	Quick return
Vischio	15d ago	Fit
Solar Breeze	18d ago	Fit
Cristal Clere	21d ago	Fit
Dream Escape	22d ago	Fit
Whileuweresleeping	23d ago	Fit
Out On Friday	27d ago	Fit
Chally Chute	28d ago	Fit
Sionnach Eile	28d ago	Fit
Imaginarium	31d ago	Fit
Alexandroupolis	36d ago	Fit
Soaring Monarch	42d ago	Fit
Moracana	59d ago	Fresh
Gulf Of Mexico	365d ago	Long break
Smooth Tom	—	—