Sri Lanka Awaits You Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

15:55

Sri Lanka Awaits You Handicap

Date 2023-10-23

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,397

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (5)	Astronomica Bay J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	127	—	-12132	60	77	69	28d	—	—	+4	23.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Showed this mark is within range last time; has her ground and warrants respect
6 (14)	Kynsa Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	—	432262	68	75	51	33d	—	—	+3	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Latest Sandown second has been boosted by the winner since; the drop in trip won't hurt
8 (8)	Roundabout Silver Grey J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	132	—	362132	62	77	58	21d	—	—	+8	19.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Switch to more aggressive tactics has helped; enters calculations off the same mark again
10 (7)	Dubai Dreamer Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	132	—	734365	65	78	52	12d	—	—	-1	8.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Been expensive to follow, going backwards since entering handicaps; running out of excuses
5 (10)	Darvel Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	135	b	156932	65	81	59	21d	—	—	+4	13.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Often makes the running; it's hard to find any negatives, so he needs considering
9 (3)	Rival Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:John Flint	J:Callum Shepherd T:John Flint	132	p	354579	62	80	71	40d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Handles these conditions and wouldn't be without hope off a career-low mark
13 (2)	Khangai Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Mark Rimell	J:Hollie Doyle T:Mark Rimell	128	t	317265	61	76	62	16d	—	—	+3	9	2.75/1	12 8%
Has spent most of the year running over 1m2f; inconsistent and hard to know what to expect
2 (1)	Equion Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	140	—	401319	70	76	71	27d	—	—	+12	18.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Won on similar ground at Nottingham off a 2lb lower mark in August; claims on that
3 (4)	Marsh Benham Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	138	p	148456	68	74	66	4d	—	—	+1	5.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Has his moods and goes in first-time headgear today; needs to settle on this ground
12 (11)	Vitalline Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Keiran Burke	J:Liam Keniry T:Keiran Burke	129	p	056-67	59	79	53	14d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	3.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Has won on soft ground; not a huge surprise to see him pop up coming right down in trip
7 (12)	Majestic Newlaw Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rob Hornby T:Paul & Oliver Cole	134	tp	326-08	67	79	32	35d	—	—	+1	5.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Goes in first-time tongue-tie/cheekpieces; softer ground may help but has it to prove now
11 (6)	Thewaytothestars Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	131	p	115398	61	79	64	13d	—	—	+4	7.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Not as good since two wins and stamina would be a slight cause for concern today
1 (9)	Zambezi Magic Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Joshua Bryan T:Bernard Llewellyn	140	h	41154-	70	74	44	—	—	—	+12	13.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Done all racing over further since handicapping; watch the market back from a year off
4 (13)	Melody Cher Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	136	p	5-5050	66	78	-	7d	—	—	+3	4.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Would want to see good support in first-time cheekpieces before considering her

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Astronomica	10/3	3	7/2	10/3	3
Kynsa	5	9/2	5	5	9/2
Roundabout Silver	6	11/2	13/2	6	6
Dubai Dreamer	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Darvel	8	8	8	8	8
Rival	12	12	12	12	12
Khangai	12	12	12	12	12
Equion	11	12	11	12	12
Marsh Benham	14	14	14	14	14
Vitalline	22	20	22	22	18
Majestic Newlaw	25	18	18	20	18
Thewaytothestars	25	25	22	25	28
Zambezi Magic	66	66	50	66	66
Melody Cher	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Astronomica

23.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Roundabout Silver

19.9

OR: 3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Kynsa

18.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Equion

18.2

OR: 5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

Darvel

13.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7

Zambezi Magic

13.4

OR: 5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.4

Khangai

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Dubai Dreamer

8.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Thewaytothestars

7.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Marsh Benham

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Majestic Newlaw

5.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Rival

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Melody Cher

4.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Vitalline

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Equion	70	76	71
Zambezi Magic	70	74	44
Kynsa	68	75	51
Marsh Benham	68	74	66
Majestic Newlaw	67	79	32
Melody Cher	66	78	—
Dubai Dreamer	65	78	52
Darvel	65	81	59
Roundabout Silver	62	77	58
Rival	62	80	71
Khangai	61	76	62
Thewaytothestars	61	79	64
Astronomica	60	77	69
Vitalline	59	79	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marsh Benham	4d ago	Quick return
Melody Cher	7d ago	Quick return
Dubai Dreamer	12d ago	Quick return
Thewaytothestars	13d ago	Quick return
Vitalline	14d ago	Fit
Khangai	16d ago	Fit
Roundabout Silver	21d ago	Fit
Darvel	21d ago	Fit
Equion	27d ago	Fit
Astronomica	28d ago	Fit
Kynsa	33d ago	Fit
Majestic Newlaw	35d ago	Fit
Rival	40d ago	Fit
Zambezi Magic	—	—