Sri Lanka, The Teardrop Island Handicap (Div II)

Windsor

17:00

Date 2023-10-23

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 6

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,768

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Oh So Audacious Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	136	—	-45121	53	62	49	49d	—	—	-2	28.7	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Enjoying a good season; half-sister to two soft-ground winners, which gives hope
2 (10)	Tilt At Windmills Chestnut J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	134	—	897841	54	64	37	5d	—	—	-5	17.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Much better since tackling slow ground; major player even with a penalty
4 (8)	Magical Dragon Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	132	v	855351	49	61	36	18d	—	—	+1	15.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Stays further, which will help in the conditions, and arrives in good form; player
7 (5)	Rita Rana Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Adrian Wintle	129	h	652370	46	62	43	13d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Plenty of short-priced convictions; far from straightforward but conditions will be fine
6 (7)	Daany Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Joe Tickle	J:Finley Marsh T:Joe Tickle	129	h	037-05	46	63	-	20d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Offering a bit more since returned to the Flat; it wouldn't be a shock to see him pop up
3 (4)	Fitzrovia Brown J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	132	—	0-9509	49	58	45	60d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fine on this sort of ground for Ed de Giles but has looked on the downgrade this year
5 (3)	Jackie Diamond Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rob Hornby T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	—	96-099	50	53	9	13d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Went close at a big price on debut last summer but has achieved very little subsequently
8 (2)	Balmy Breese Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	126	b	008060	46	57	-	16d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Needs to show something extra
NR (9)	Brazen Insanity Bay J:TBC T:Lydia Richards	J: T:Lydia Richards	126	h	0-8009	46	41	14	44d	—	—	-8	3.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Five woeful efforts to date, always at massive prices, and has nothing to recommend her
9 (6)	Ourdefence Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John Flint	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John Flint	126	p	67407	46	48	26	37d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Five poor efforts for Nikki Evans; goes in first-time headgear for her new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Oh So Audacious	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	7/4
Tilt At Windmills	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Magical Dragon	5	5	9/2	5	9/2
Rita Rana	10	9	9	9	10
Daany	11	10	9/1	9	10
Fitzrovia	17/2	9	9	10/1	10
Jackie Diamond	33	33	28	33	33
Balmy Breese	40	40	40	40	40
Brazen Insanity	100	50	50	50	50
Ourdefence	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Oh So Audacious

28.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Tilt At Windmills

17.7

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Magical Dragon

15.9

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Rita Rana

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

Brazen Insanity

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

100

Fitzrovia

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Daany

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Jackie Diamond

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Balmy Breese

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ourdefence

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tilt At Windmills	54	64	37
Oh So Audacious	53	62	49
Jackie Diamond	50	53	9
Magical Dragon	49	61	36
Fitzrovia	49	58	45
Rita Rana	46	62	43
Daany	46	63	—
Balmy Breese	46	57	—
Brazen Insanity	46	41	14
Ourdefence	46	48	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilt At Windmills	5d ago	Quick return
Rita Rana	13d ago	Quick return
Jackie Diamond	13d ago	Quick return
Balmy Breese	16d ago	Fit
Magical Dragon	18d ago	Fit
Daany	20d ago	Fit
Ourdefence	37d ago	Fit
Brazen Insanity	44d ago	Fit
Oh So Audacious	49d ago	Fresh
Fitzrovia	60d ago	Fresh