BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:35

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2023-10-23

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (3)	Doves Of Peace Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	130	v	253364	55	68	-	4d	—	—	-43	23.7	—	—
Knocking on the door on Polytrack in recent weeks; contender if first-time visor helps
2 (4)	The Caltonian Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	137	b	635071	60	76	42	6d	—	—	-21	31	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Won readily by 5l in first-time blinkers at Newcastle on Tuesday; has 5lb penalty here
1 (7)	Galileo Glass Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:David Evans	J:Oisin Murphy T:David Evans	137	v	622613	60	71	60	41d	—	—	+5	19	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Consistent 4yo; scored over C&D last month and has since run well on slow turf; respected
NR (10)	Baulac Bay J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	132	—	65756	57	66	-	21d	—	—	-9	6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Needs to find something extra on today's AW debut but still has low mileage
5 (8)	Gracelands Girl Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	—	350834	58	71	48	31d	—	—	-2	6.3	2.25/1	10 10%
0-14 but made the frame in two 1m turf races last month and 7f on Tapeta also suits
10 (5)	Thoughtful Gift Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	127	p	5776-3	50	67	54	20d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ran well over 8.6f here on recent stable debut and remains lightly raced; major player
11 (6)	Laertes Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	125	p	035707	48	69	58	23d	—	—	-4	2.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't run badly over 6f last time but others in this field have much stronger claims
6 (11)	Coaxing Bay J:Oisin Orr T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Oisin Orr T:David & Nicola Barron	134	—	308864	57	75	50	13d	—	—	-2	3.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Kept on well for fourth over 6f this month and today's return to 7f will suit; good chance
NR (9)	Catesby Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	135	—	559291	58	69	56	13d	—	—	+10	16.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Made all over 6f this month; stays 7f but recent 4lb rise might leave him vulnerable
7 (1)	Sir Titan Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	133	—	446343	56	72	65	35d	—	—	+3	7.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Ran quite well on soft turf last month but this front-runner hasn't won since 2021
3 (2)	Red Dwarf Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	135	—	3/33-	58	66	-	588d	—	—	+2	4.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Makes stable/handicap debut after 588-day absence; market likely to point the way

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Doves Of Peace	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
The Caltonian	4/6	8/13	8/11	8/11	8/11
Galileo Glass	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Baulac	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Gracelands Girl	10	9	9	9	9
Thoughtful Gift	11	11/1	11/1	11	11
Laertes	16	14	16	16/1	16
Coaxing	14	12	14	14	12
Catesby	18	16	14	16	16
Sir Titan	18	20	22	20	20
Red Dwarf	28	28	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Caltonian

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

Doves Of Peace

23.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Galileo Glass

OR: 2.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Catesby

16.1

OR: 2 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

Sir Titan

7.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

Gracelands Girl

6.3

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

Baulac

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.2

15/2

Thoughtful Gift

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Red Dwarf

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

Coaxing

3.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Laertes

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Caltonian	60	76	42
Galileo Glass	60	71	60
Gracelands Girl	58	71	48
Catesby	58	69	56
Red Dwarf	58	66	—
Baulac	57	66	—
Coaxing	57	75	50
Sir Titan	56	72	65
Doves Of Peace	55	68	—
Thoughtful Gift	50	67	54
Laertes	48	69	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Doves Of Peace	4d ago	Quick return
The Caltonian	6d ago	Quick return
Coaxing	13d ago	Quick return
Catesby	13d ago	Quick return
Thoughtful Gift	20d ago	Fit
Baulac	21d ago	Fit
Laertes	23d ago	Fit
Gracelands Girl	31d ago	Fit
Sir Titan	35d ago	Fit
Galileo Glass	41d ago	Fit
Red Dwarf	588d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.