Every Race Live On Racing TV Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

16:10

Every Race Live On Racing TV Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-10-25

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,800

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Zouzanna Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Rossa Ryan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	126	—	-14013	84	104	96	18d	—	—	+5	27.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Unlucky third in similar event over 7f here last time; major player up just 1lb
1 (5)	Choisya Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	138	—	721016	96	100	80	35d	—	—	+7	29.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Non-stayer over 1m1f last time; generally progressive otherwise; remains of interest
4 (6)	Karmology Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	126	—	11	84	105	58	23d	—	—	+15	29.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promising filly who is two from two; now goes into a deeper field but may improve further
3 (7)	Mountain Song Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	127	—	222176	85	100	79	102d	—	—	+8	19.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has not transferred her solid AW record to turf in two attempts
9 (3)	Bint Al Daar Brown J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	118	—	613722	76	101	91	20d	—	—	+10	21	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Last four attempts on turf have resulted in form figures of 1322; could go well again
6 (4)	Orzo Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	124	—	1/3	79	101	-	196d	—	—	+11	19.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Twice-raced filly, still unexposed; returns from another layoff; heed the market signals
NR (2)	Prisha Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	118	—	0-213	76	99	91	51d	—	—	-4	10.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Ran creditably at Windsor last time; steps up in grade but remains an unexposed sort
2 (8)	Morning Poem Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	132	b	125-80	87	101	75	18d	—	—	+6	10.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Drop back to 1m is worth a shot; possibilities if taking well to blinkers
7 (9)	Rocha Do Leao Bay J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	120	—	5305	78	100	73	33d	—	—	+4	10.2	2.75/1	12 8%
May benefit from this drop back to 1m; showed promise over C&D in April

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zouzanna	3	11/4	3	11/4	11/4
Choisya	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Karmology	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
Mountain Song	6	6	13/2	11/2	6
Bint Al Daar	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Orzo	12	11	11	9	12
Prisha	18	16	16	16	16
Morning Poem	16	16	14	16	14
Rocha Do Leao	12	12	11	12	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Karmology

29.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 17 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Choisya

29.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 11 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Zouzanna

27.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Bint Al Daar

OR: 6.5 Form: 11.4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Mountain Song

19.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Orzo

19.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

Prisha

10.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

Morning Poem

10.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Rocha Do Leao

10.2

OR: 7 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Choisya	96	100	80
Morning Poem	87	101	75
Mountain Song	85	100	79
Zouzanna	84	104	96
Karmology	84	105	58
Orzo	79	101	—
Rocha Do Leao	78	100	73
Bint Al Daar	76	101	91
Prisha	76	99	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zouzanna	18d ago	Fit
Morning Poem	18d ago	Fit
Bint Al Daar	20d ago	Fit
Karmology	23d ago	Fit
Rocha Do Leao	33d ago	Fit
Choisya	35d ago	Fit
Prisha	51d ago	Fresh
Mountain Song	102d ago	Long break
Orzo	196d ago	Long break