Racing Welfare Nursery Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

17:20

Racing Welfare Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-25

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,281

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Broadway Act Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	135	—	221	85	92	87	26d	—	—	-3	38.1	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Successful in C&D maiden last month and looks the type to improve further; respected
6 (4)	Speeding Bullet Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hannon	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hannon	129	—	0253	79	94	88	18d	—	—	+1	17.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
May show greater progress now handicapping and appears to have solid claims
NR (5)	Angel Of England Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Bethell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Bethell	131	—	8210	81	89	69	62d	—	—	-5	27.4	1.50/1	7 14%
6f winner on penultimate outing; will stay 7f if taking after his siblings
1 (7)	Mafnood Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hannon	J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hannon	135	—	43124	85	95	85	14d	—	—	+9	21.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below par on AW last time; progressive sort on turf otherwise; remains of interest
8 (10)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	127	—	762195	77	93	83	24d	—	—	+9	15	3.25/1	14 7%
Off the mark at Ffos Las in early September; below par twice since
11 (8)	Charming Whisper Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip McBride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip McBride	123	—	61524	73	92	84	11d	—	—	+7	14.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Creditable fourth in similar event over C&D 11 days ago; proving consistent
10 (6)	Dunstan Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	124	b	522	74	92	-	28d	—	—	+10	16.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Solid promise in AW novice events at Kempton; likely player if taking well to headgear
5 (1)	Ebt's Guard Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	129	—	652324	79	92	78	24d	—	—	+9	15.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Six-race maiden; close second on soft ground at Newbury two starts ago
7 (12)	Zainabb Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	129	—	844	79	87	62	25d	—	—	+5	8.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Should benefit from this drop back to 7f on handicap debut; open to progress
12 (3)	Too Much Trevor Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	123	—	223	73	85	74	18d	—	—	+12	15.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Brings a consistent profile to this handicap debut; could go well
3 (11)	Sonmarg Bay J:Tom Marquand T:S Woods	J:Tom Marquand T:S Woods	131	t	713	81	89	81	68d	—	—	+16	18.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Doesn't give the impression he's crying out for this stiffer 7f
9 (2)	Hurricane Power Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	126	t	95237	76	92	81	21d	—	—	+10	11.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Best form when placed over 6f at Windsor; not crying out for this new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Broadway Act	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Speeding Bullet	9/2	4	4	4	4
Angel Of England	6	7	7	7	7
Mafnood	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
The Smiling Wolf	14	12	11	12/1	11
Charming Whisper	14	11	11	11	11
Dunstan	10	14	14	14	14
Ebt's Guard	16	12	11	12/1	12
Zainabb	22	20	20	20	22
Too Much Trevor	22	22	22	22	22
Sonmarg	28	40	40	40/1	33
Hurricane Power	66	50	50	50/1	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Broadway Act

38.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 16 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Angel Of England

27.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 10.2

3rd

Mafnood

21.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sonmarg

18.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Speeding Bullet

17.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Dunstan

16.4

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Too Much Trevor

15.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1

Ebt's Guard

15.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

The Smiling Wolf

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

Charming Whisper

14.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

Hurricane Power

11.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0.5

Zainabb

8.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Broadway Act	85	92	87
Mafnood	85	95	85
Angel Of England	81	89	69
Sonmarg	81	89	81
Speeding Bullet	79	94	88
Ebt's Guard	79	92	78
Zainabb	79	87	62
The Smiling Wolf	77	93	83
Hurricane Power	76	92	81
Dunstan	74	92	—
Charming Whisper	73	92	84
Too Much Trevor	73	85	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charming Whisper	11d ago	Quick return
Mafnood	14d ago	Fit
Speeding Bullet	18d ago	Fit
Too Much Trevor	18d ago	Fit
Hurricane Power	21d ago	Fit
The Smiling Wolf	24d ago	Fit
Ebt's Guard	24d ago	Fit
Zainabb	25d ago	Fit
Broadway Act	26d ago	Fit
Dunstan	28d ago	Fit
Angel Of England	62d ago	Fresh
Sonmarg	68d ago	Fresh