Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap

Date 2023-10-25

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	132	—	432621	69	85	66	22d	—	—	0	29.2	0.25/1	2 50%
Bolted up at Wolverhampton three weeks ago; up 6lb but more appealing than most
4 (2)	Lady Dreamer Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	135	tv	139823	72	83	69	29d	—	—	-6	20.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Consistent enough but she will need to find extra if she's to add to July's Windsor win
9 (7)	No News Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	117	—	248652	54	84	70	14d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Conditions ideal and he went close over C&D two weeks ago; this a stronger race
1 (9)	Urban Decay Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Bell	J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Bell	137	—	2-1578	74	81	29	27d	—	—	0	13.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1m AW winner; down the field in two handicaps but this is weaker and 7f should suit
5 (4)	Catwalk Model Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	134	—	214715	71	83	-	36d	—	—	+9	16.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Two 6f turf wins this summer; worth another crack at 7f; promise on AW at two
8 (3)	Lunario Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Robyn Brisland	J:Billy Loughnane T:Robyn Brisland	128	—	7-7435	65	80	53	130d	—	—	0	5.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Near miss on h'cap debut but off since lesser run 130 days ago; low mileage but needs more
7 (6)	Shot Of Love Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	hb	279318	68	81	-	24d	—	—	+9	14.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Two turf wins this summer but needs to bounce back from a poor Epsom run 24 days ago
3 (1)	Kessaar Power Bay J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	135	—	277049	72	82	55	18d	—	—	+3	6.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Two 6f wins for former yard in the spring; low-key run at Wolverhampton latest; 7f a query
NR (8)	Fierce Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	136	v	422140	73	84	72	42d	—	—	+7	15.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
5f maiden winner; not obviously well treated; new trip and headgear today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Chalk Mountain	2	2	2	2	2
Lady Dreamer	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
No News	6	6	6	11/2	6/1
Urban Decay	5	6	13/2	6	6
Catwalk Model	10	10	10	10	10
Lunario	20	16	16	16	16
Shot Of Love	16	16	16	14	16
Kessaar Power	20	20	22	20	20
Fierce	9	9	15/2	8	17/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chalk Mountain

29.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 8.9

2nd

Lady Dreamer

20.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Catwalk Model

16.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 9 Odds: 2.1

Fierce

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Shot Of Love

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

Urban Decay

13.1

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

No News

9.3

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Kessaar Power

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Lunario

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Urban Decay	74	81	29
Fierce	73	84	72
Lady Dreamer	72	83	69
Kessaar Power	72	82	55
Catwalk Model	71	83	—
Chalk Mountain	69	85	66
Shot Of Love	68	81	—
Lunario	65	80	53
No News	54	84	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No News	14d ago	Fit
Kessaar Power	18d ago	Fit
Chalk Mountain	22d ago	Fit
Shot Of Love	24d ago	Fit
Urban Decay	27d ago	Fit
Lady Dreamer	29d ago	Fit
Catwalk Model	36d ago	Fit
Fierce	42d ago	Fit
Lunario	130d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.