Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-25

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,672

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (5)	Summer Of Love Bay J:TBC T:Saeed bin Suroor	J: T:Saeed bin Suroor	133	—	41	-	95	58	9d	—	—	-28	30	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Strode clear over C&D last week and tough to beat despite 7lb penalty and 2lb less claim
3 (6)	Al Farabi Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	131	—	3	-	82	-	205d	—	—	-33	22.4	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Joined Roger Varian after finishing third in newcomers race at Chantilly for Andre Fabre
NR (1)	Desert Horizon Bay J:TBC T:Saeed bin Suroor	J: T:Saeed bin Suroor	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Worth monitoring in the betting versus stablemate and previous winner Summer Of Love
NR (7)	Guy Fawkes Roan J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	131	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ex Gosden/Godolphin, changing hands for just £3,500 in March; watch on debut
9 (8)	Local Music Bay J:Luke Morris T:Matt Crawley	J:Luke Morris T:Matt Crawley	126	—	93	-	72	56	20d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Could be a good 1,000gns purchase but she has a lot on her plate here
5 (2)	Falcon Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	131	—	95	-	72	-	15d	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Good step forward latest but much more is needed and could do with settling better
2 (9)	Abillity Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Very likely best watched; already gelded
7 (3)	Ricardo Ofworthing Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	131	—	-75770	42	49	33	141d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Has BHA mark of 42 after ten runs; can't consider; back from 141 days off
8 (4)	Tilsworth Turf Chestnut J:Liam Wright(7) T:J R Jenkins	J:Liam Wright(7) T:J R Jenkins	131	—	6	-	55	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
100-1 and beat just one home on debut at Leicester last week; surely needs more time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Summer Of Love	4/6	8/11	4/6	4/6	4/6
Al Farabi	4/7	8/15	4/7	8/15	8/15
Desert Horizon	11/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Guy Fawkes	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Local Music	8	7	15/2	7	13/2
Falcon	9/4	9/4	9/4	2	2
Abillity	40	33	33	33	33
Ricardo Ofworthing	66	50	50	50	50
Tilsworth Turf	100	50	50	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Summer Of Love

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

8/11

2nd

Al Farabi

22.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 19.4

4/7

3rd

Guy Fawkes

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Falcon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Desert Horizon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6

13/2

Local Music

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Abillity

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ricardo Ofworthing

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Tilsworth Turf

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ricardo Ofworthing	42	49	33
Summer Of Love	—	95	58
Al Farabi	—	82	—
Desert Horizon	—	—	—
Guy Fawkes	—	—	—
Local Music	—	72	56
Falcon	—	72	—
Abillity	—	—	—
Tilsworth Turf	—	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilsworth Turf	8d ago	Quick return
Summer Of Love	9d ago	Quick return
Falcon	15d ago	Fit
Local Music	20d ago	Fit
Ricardo Ofworthing	141d ago	Long break
Al Farabi	205d ago	Long break
Desert Horizon	—	—
Guy Fawkes	—	—
Abillity	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.