BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (No More Than 3 Runs) (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

15:40

Date 2023-10-26

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,618

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Saviour Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	133	t	3	-	87	-	21d	—	—	-22	14.8	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Backed at Goodwood (1m, soft) and put up a bold show before finishing third of ten
1 (9)	Blessed Boy Black J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	—	2	-	82	58	50d	—	—	-13	13	0.56/1	9/4 31%
4-1, came from towards rear when 2nd of nine in novice at Southwell (7f, AW) in September
5 (8)	Parwaz Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Newcomer by Gleneagles; from a leading yard, so needs a close look
6 (7)	Purefoy Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	97	-	74	-	19d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Faded to be well held at Ascot (7f) and Newmarket (1m) but he has some ability
4 (11)	Lavender Hill Mob Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	133	—	6	-	70	-	27d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
40-1, last of six at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) four weeks ago but showed some ability
10 (10)	Livinthelife Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	—	5	-	68	32	26d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Fifth of nine at Chelmsford (7f, AW); should improve but much more from him will be needed
9 (5)	Myna Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Charlie Bennett T:Marcus Tregoning	131	—	5	-	70	-	21d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
66-1, 11l fifth of eight in Salisbury novice (7f, soft) three weeks ago, never dangerous
2 (3)	Flashy Apache Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	5	-	66	23	12d	—	—	-3	1.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
18-1, last of five at Chelmsford (7f, AW) 12 days ago; others have shown more
8 (2)	Claxton Bay Bay J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	131	—	6	-	58	45	15d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
22-1, never dangerous when 13l sixth of ten in novice at Kempton (7f, AW) 15 days ago
11 (4)	Tattle O'Day Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	129	—	—	-	-	-	36d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
150-1 when a tailed-off last over 7f on soft ground at Sandown
3 (1)	King Of France Bay J:Rowan Scott T:George Boughey	J:Rowan Scott T:George Boughey	133	—	00	-	31	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Behind when 40-1 at Windsor (6f, good to firm) and 125-1 at Lingfield (7f, AW)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Saviour	13/8	6/4	13/8	6/4	13/8
Blessed Boy	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Parwaz	4	4	4	4	4
Purefoy	7	7	7	15/2	7/1
Lavender Hill Mob	10	11	12	11	12
Livinthelife	33	28	28	28	33/1
Myna	40	40	40	40	40/1
Flashy Apache	66	33	40	16	66/1
Claxton Bay	66	50	50	50	50
Tattle O'Day	150	100	100	100	150/1
King Of France	500	100	100	80	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saviour

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.8

13/8

2nd

Blessed Boy

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Parwaz

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Purefoy

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Lavender Hill Mob

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Flashy Apache

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

66/1

Livinthelife

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Myna

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Claxton Bay

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Tattle O'Day

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

King Of France

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Saviour	—	87	—
Blessed Boy	—	82	58
Parwaz	—	—	—
Purefoy	—	74	—
Lavender Hill Mob	—	70	—
Livinthelife	—	68	32
Myna	—	70	—
Flashy Apache	—	66	23
Claxton Bay	—	58	45
Tattle O'Day	—	—	—
King Of France	—	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flashy Apache	12d ago	Quick return
Claxton Bay	15d ago	Fit
Purefoy	19d ago	Fit
Saviour	21d ago	Fit
Myna	21d ago	Fit
King Of France	21d ago	Fit
Livinthelife	26d ago	Fit
Lavender Hill Mob	27d ago	Fit
Tattle O'Day	36d ago	Fit
Blessed Boy	50d ago	Fresh
Parwaz	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.