Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:30

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-10-27

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,559

Winning Time 2m 33.07s (slow by 5.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Upepo (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	5/2F	Won
2nd	Churchill Rose (IRE) Mikkel Mortensen · Charlie Fellowes	3/1	.5
3rd	Two Plus Two (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Ed de Giles	28/1	.5
4th	Spring Chorus (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Ivan Furtado	20/1	0.2
5th	Sao Timothy (IRE) David Probert · Robert Stephens	100/30	.75
6th	Queenmambo (GB) Kevin Stott · Philip Kirby	14/1	0.05
7th	Irezumi (GB) Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	9/1	1.75
8th	Foinix (GB) Tom Marquand · Jim & Suzi Best	25/1	1.25
9th	Alodia (GB) Liam Keniry · Sylvester Kirk	8/1	.75
10th	Leazy Lindsay (GB) Rob Hornby · Milton Harris	33/1	1.5
11th	O' Dells Star (FR) Morgan Cole · Alexandra Dunn	150/1	1.75
12th	Take My Breath (IRE) George Rooke · Karen Jewell	16/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Upepo Grey Roan J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	133	—	-44600	53	68	-	23d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-18	9.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Irish form (AW/turf) makes him of interest; left Sheila Lavery; worth a market check
6 (12)	Sao Timothy Bay J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	129	h	005-94	49	64	48	20d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
First solid form when fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) three weeks ago
2 (1)	Churchill Rose Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	136	p	457316	56	63	44	51d	—	—	-4	15.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Breakthrough win on penultimate start and ran respectably latest; 7lb claimer is enlisted
10 (10)	Alodia Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	126	—	956562	46	63	37	17d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Neck second in six-runner handicap at Brighton (1m4f, good to firm) last time; considered
3 (3)	Foinix Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Tom Marquand T:Jim & Suzi Best	135	—	125604	55	68	52	118d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	3.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Off the boil on last three runs for Gay Kelleway; gelded; has won and probably stays 1m4f
9 (8)	Irezumi Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	126	v	055760	46	64	41	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Best form this year was five starts back (1m4f, good to soft); changes headgear
5 (11)	Leazy Lindsay Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Milton Harris	J:Rob Hornby T:Milton Harris	132	—	66536	52	66	-	56d	—	—	-1	4	4.25/1	18 6%
125-1 third at Leicester (1m4f, soft) two starts back was easily her most competitive show
1 (4)	Spring Chorus Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ivan Furtado	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ivan Furtado	137	—	450	57	60	-	17d	—	—	-6	4.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Handicap debut in this weak race surely offers a much better chance
11 (6)	Take My Breath Bay J:George Rooke T:Karen Jewell	J:George Rooke T:Karen Jewell	126	—	067866	46	61	37	20d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
First attempt at 1m4f was creditable last time but she still needs to show something new
12 (9)	Two Plus Two Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed de Giles	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed de Giles	126	b	028500	46	59	-	4d	—	—	-2	2.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Closest to a winner three starts back (1m2f, Polytrack) but tailed off both since
8 (7)	Queenmambo Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Philip Kirby	J:Kevin Stott T:Philip Kirby	127	—	424769	47	67	46	20d	—	—	-1	1.8	8.00/1	33 3%
0-14; in the frame this April; returned from her summer break with three lesser efforts
7 (2)	O' Dells Star Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	129	p	305807	49	67	16	18d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Regressive for Karl Burke and beaten 14l on first run for new yard; now tries cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Upepo	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	2
Sao Timothy	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Churchill Rose	7/2	7/2	3	7/2	7/2
Alodia	10/1	9	9	8	9
Foinix	16	16	14	14	14
Irezumi	14	14	14	14	14
Leazy Lindsay	18	16	16	14	16
Spring Chorus	14	16	16	6	18
Take My Breath	20	16	16	14	20
Two Plus Two	25	22	20	22	25
Queenmambo	33	28	28	28	33
O' Dells Star	66	66	66	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Churchill Rose

15.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Upepo

9.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Alodia

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Sao Timothy

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Spring Chorus

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Leazy Lindsay

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Foinix

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Two Plus Two

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Queenmambo

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.8

Irezumi

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Take My Breath

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

O' Dells Star

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spring Chorus	57	60	—
Churchill Rose	56	63	44
Foinix	55	68	52
Upepo	53	68	—
Leazy Lindsay	52	66	—
Sao Timothy	49	64	48
O' Dells Star	49	67	16
Queenmambo	47	67	46
Alodia	46	63	37
Irezumi	46	64	41
Take My Breath	46	61	37
Two Plus Two	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Two Plus Two	4d ago	Quick return
Irezumi	11d ago	Quick return
Alodia	17d ago	Fit
Spring Chorus	17d ago	Fit
O' Dells Star	18d ago	Fit
Sao Timothy	20d ago	Fit
Take My Breath	20d ago	Fit
Queenmambo	20d ago	Fit
Upepo	23d ago	Fit
Churchill Rose	51d ago	Fresh
Leazy Lindsay	56d ago	Fresh
Foinix	118d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.