Just Add Tonic Events "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kelso

15:54

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 2m51y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,901

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Old Gregorian Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	157	—	652-	-	-	-	183d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Bumper form short of some these but stable been farming novice hurdles in North lately
10	Lacila Blue Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	151	—	5935-3	93	112	103	163d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Twice third over hurdles but the form is modest; probably vulnerable
1	Doyen Du Bar Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	158	—	1/3/	-	-	-	572d	—	—	-2	15	0.88/1	7/2 22%
First and second in bumpers a year apart; off another 19 months ahead of hurdle debut
3	Rob Roy Macgregor Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	158	—	17-	-	-	-	187d	—	—	-15	17	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Bumper winner in the spring; rates a decent hurdle prospect
7	Wainwright Bay J:Callum Bewley T:Nicky Richards	J:Callum Bewley T:Nicky Richards	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.25/1	10 10%
From a respected stable but possibly more one for the longer term
5	Skiddaw Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	158	—	0-	-	-	-	374d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Well held on bumper debut for Philip Hobbs a year ago
NR	The Foreman Bay J:TBC T:Sue Smith	J: T:Sue Smith	158	—	8-	-	-	-	539d	—	—	-50	20	12.25/1	50 2%
Well held in a Haydock bumper on debut in May 2022; not seen since
4	Ruleout Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	158	t	/73P/0	94	-	-	17d	—	—	+9	11.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Off over two years prior to well held on recent yard debut; tongue-tie on; lots to prove
8	Halfway House Lad Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	157	t	U509P-	71	-	-	205d	—	—	+4	5.6	31.00/1	125 1%
No worthwhile form last season; big outsider
NR	Iorangi De L'Isle Bay J:TBC T:Donald McCain	J: T:Donald McCain	158	—	F1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	9	—	—
Won completed start in Irish points; should play leading role on hurdle debut for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Old Gregorian	4	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Lacila Blue	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Doyen Du Bar	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rob Roy Macgregor	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Wainwright	10	9	9	9	9
Skiddaw	16	16	16	16	14
The Foreman	50	28	25	25	25
Ruleout	50	40	40	40	33
Halfway House Lad	100	125	125	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Foreman

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Lacila Blue

18.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Rob Roy Macgregor

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 10

15/8

Doyen Du Bar

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

7/2

Ruleout

11.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Old Gregorian

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Iorangi De L'Isle

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 0

—

Halfway House Lad

5.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Wainwright

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Skiddaw

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ruleout	94	—	—
Lacila Blue	93	112	103
Halfway House Lad	71	—	—
Old Gregorian	—	—	—
Doyen Du Bar	—	—	—
Rob Roy Macgregor	—	—	—
Wainwright	—	—	—
Skiddaw	—	—	—
The Foreman	—	—	—
Iorangi De L'Isle	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ruleout	17d ago	Fit
Lacila Blue	163d ago	Long break
Old Gregorian	183d ago	Long break
Rob Roy Macgregor	187d ago	Long break
Halfway House Lad	205d ago	Long break
Skiddaw	374d ago	Long break
The Foreman	539d ago	Long break
Doyen Du Bar	572d ago	Long break
Wainwright	—	—
Iorangi De L'Isle	—	—