Scott Dobson Memorial Handicap (Div II) – Doncaster

Doncaster

17:28

Scott Dobson Memorial Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,653

Winning Time 1m 32.59s (slow by 9.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Thunder Roar (GB) Tom Eaves · Tony Coyle	2/1F	Won
2nd	Muntadab (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	13/2	1.75
3rd	Lockdown Lass (GB) Oisin Murphy · Gary Hanmer	5/2	2.75
4th	Ugo Gregory (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	16/1	1.5
5th	Alexa's Princess (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	22/1	6
6th	Ring Of Gold (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	9/2	2
7th	Gainsbourg (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Daragh Bourke	12/1	3.5
8th	Bobby Shaft (GB) Cam Hardie · John Wainwright	28/1	0.3
9th	Beylerbeyi (GB) Graham Lee · Patrick Morris	100/1	9.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (2)	Lockdown Lass Brown J:Oisin Murphy T:Gary Hanmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Gary Hanmer	123	—	132216	60	83	77	28d	—	—	-3	21.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Three wins this year and had an excuse last time; shortlisted
3 (9)	Thunder Roar Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	140	—	818031	77	86	75	15d	—	—	+4	28.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
7f on soft/heavy is ideal; awarded race at York last time; another big run is on the cards
NR (3)	Challet Bay J:TBC T:Michael Dods	J: T:Michael Dods	140	—	-06242	77	85	62	70d	—	—	-27	34.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In frame last three starts; handles the mud and returning to 7f will be fine
8 (5)	Ring Of Gold Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	333335	68	82	75	28d	—	—	-3	14.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Looks well handicapped; better than the bare result last time; might be the answer
7 (4)	Muntadab Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	—	027534	71	85	80	16d	—	—	-1	12	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Old-timer; retains plenty of verve and could make frame but others appeal more for the win
NR (8)	Dark Side Thunder Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	137	p	113523	74	83	76	17d	—	—	+9	17.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Arrives in good form but today's testing 7f could stretch his stamina to the limit
1 (11)	Gainsbourg Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Daragh Bourke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Daragh Bourke	142	b	081170	79	85	73	—	—	—	+10	17.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Back on the Flat after poor hurdle run; in the mix judged on two Ayr wins in July
4 (1)	Ugo Gregory Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	139	tp	402206	76	84	77	7d	—	—	+5	12.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Last two efforts have been poor and he's on the back burner for the time being
6 (10)	Bobby Shaft Bay J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	136	—	1316/0	73	81	-	176d	—	—	+2	7.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won a division of this race as a 4yo but then had mammoth absence before tailed off in May
9 (6)	Alexa's Princess Chestnut J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	131	—	630-58	70	81	58	29d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Last of eight at Newcastle last month and unproven in the mud
10 (7)	Beylerbeyi Bay J:Graham Lee T:Patrick Morris	J:Graham Lee T:Patrick Morris	130	—	60-898	69	74	31	28d	—	—	+3	5.2	19.75/1	80 1%
Down the field in two runs since joining current yard, tailed off on latest; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lockdown Lass	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Thunder Roar	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Challet	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	SP
Ring Of Gold	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Muntadab	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dark Side Thunder	8	17/2	9	8	17/2
Gainsbourg	11	10	10	11	11
Ugo Gregory	14	12	12	12	14
Bobby Shaft	20	20	22/1	20	20
Alexa's Princess	33	28	28	28	28
Beylerbeyi	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Challet

34.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 20

7/2

2nd

Thunder Roar

28.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Lockdown Lass

21.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Dark Side Thunder

17.8

OR: 6 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Gainsbourg

17.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

Ring Of Gold

14.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Ugo Gregory

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

Muntadab

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Bobby Shaft

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Alexa's Princess

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Beylerbeyi

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gainsbourg	79	85	73
Thunder Roar	77	86	75
Challet	77	85	62
Ugo Gregory	76	84	77
Dark Side Thunder	74	83	76
Bobby Shaft	73	81	—
Muntadab	71	85	80
Alexa's Princess	70	81	58
Beylerbeyi	69	74	31
Ring Of Gold	68	82	75
Lockdown Lass	60	83	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ugo Gregory	7d ago	Quick return
Thunder Roar	15d ago	Fit
Muntadab	16d ago	Fit
Dark Side Thunder	17d ago	Fit
Lockdown Lass	28d ago	Fit
Ring Of Gold	28d ago	Fit
Beylerbeyi	28d ago	Fit
Alexa's Princess	29d ago	Fit
Challet	70d ago	Fresh
Bobby Shaft	176d ago	Long break
Gainsbourg	—	—