Bill & Irene's Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Kelso

15:14

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 2m51y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Caithness Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	170	—	344-1	112	109	88	46d	—	—	+11	31.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Fourth time lucky when making all in C&D maiden on reappearance; could be more to come
12	Bella Bluesky Brown J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	146	t	96-5P3	88	117	96	20d	—	—	+2	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner; travelled well when third over 2m5f here latest; gets the nod back at 2m
4	Parvos Chestnut J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	167	—	5323-5	109	105	87	166d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Placed in handicaps in Ireland and may have more to offer for Sandy Thomson; check betting
8	Ring Of Beara Bay J:Mr William Easterby(5) T:Tim Easterby	J:Mr William Easterby(5) T:Tim Easterby	160	—	25324-	103	111	95	—	—	—	+12	21.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fair over hurdles last season and arrives fit from Flat; only a 4yo so may be more to come
13	Our Marty Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	146	tb	P-4F6P	88	116	52	20d	—	—	+5	11.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Patchy record; return to 2m may help after stopping quickly over 2m5f here but very risky
1	Telhimlisten Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	170	—	11U1-4	112	108	91	180d	—	—	+11	17.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Thrived for Jennie Candlish in spring but off since fourth in chase on yard debut in May
7	Duyfken Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	162	—	43421-	105	107	79	184d	—	—	+24	29.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Ended last season with 2m Perth handicap win; lightly raced and could be more to come
6	Cuzco Du Mathan Grey J:Leah Noreci(10) T:James Moffatt	J:Leah Noreci(10) T:James Moffatt	165	v	0-5481	107	119	71	63d	—	—	+10	15.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Much improved to win Cartmel under Leah Noreci latest; needs to show he can back that up
9	The Navigator Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:Dianne Sayer	J:Danny McMenamin T:Dianne Sayer	157	—	8-553R	99	117	100	9d	—	—	+8	13.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Not convincing on Flat/over fences lately but well treated on best hurdle form
15	El Jefe Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	142	ht	7743-0	84	112	70	20d	—	—	+4	10.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Third to Duyken at Perth but well held on return; 7lb out of handicap
11	Noble Annys Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Wilf Storey	J:Brian Hughes T:Wilf Storey	149	—	-40953	91	108	85	22d	—	—	+10	14.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Brian Hughes up when third in novice latest and he retains ride for this handicap debut
10	Boundsy Boy Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Philip Kirby	J:Ross Chapman T:Philip Kirby	151	tp	-42265	93	109	103	17d	—	—	+12	15.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Only fair start for new yard at Sedgefield recently but has dropped back to his win mark
3	Ravenscar Bay J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	169	—	14173-	111	116	94	194d	—	—	+23	26	6.75/1	28 4%
Won twice last term and third here when last seen in April; claims if primed for return
14	Propagation Bay J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Dianne Sayer	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Dianne Sayer	145	—	U9-P	87	111	-	—	—	—	+7	10	9.75/1	40 3%
24-race maiden but recent Flat efforts creditable ahead of this handicap hurdle debut
5	Valence D'Aumont Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Sue Smith	J:Sean Quinlan T:Sue Smith	166	—	35F41/	108	-	-	679d	—	—	+23	24.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Absent since winning a chase in December 2021; watching brief the percentage call

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Caithness	3	3	11/4	3	3/1
Bella Bluesky	17/2	7	7	7/1	13/2
Parvos	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Ring Of Beara	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Our Marty	11	10	10	10	10
Telhimlisten	10	11	11	11	11
Duyfken	12	12	12	12	12
Cuzco Du Mathan	14	14	12	14	14
The Navigator	16	14	14	14	14
El Jefe	16	14	12	16	16
Noble Annys	16	16	16	16	16
Boundsy Boy	25	22	22	22	22
Ravenscar	28	28	25	28	28
Propagation	40	40	40	40	40
Valence D'Aumont	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caithness

31.7

OR: 15.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Duyfken

29.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Ravenscar

OR: 15.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.8

Valence D'Aumont

24.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 9.9 Odds: 0.6

Ring Of Beara

21.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Parvos

18.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Telhimlisten

17.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Cuzco Du Mathan

15.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Boundsy Boy

15.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1

Noble Annys

14.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

The Navigator

13.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Bella Bluesky

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Our Marty

11.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

El Jefe

10.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Propagation

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Caithness	112	109	88
Telhimlisten	112	108	91
Ravenscar	111	116	94
Parvos	109	105	87
Valence D'Aumont	108	—	—
Cuzco Du Mathan	107	119	71
Duyfken	105	107	79
Ring Of Beara	103	111	95
The Navigator	99	117	100
Boundsy Boy	93	109	103
Noble Annys	91	108	85
Bella Bluesky	88	117	96
Our Marty	88	116	52
Propagation	87	111	—
El Jefe	84	112	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Navigator	9d ago	Quick return
Boundsy Boy	17d ago	Fit
Bella Bluesky	20d ago	Fit
Our Marty	20d ago	Fit
El Jefe	20d ago	Fit
Noble Annys	22d ago	Fit
Caithness	46d ago	Fresh
Cuzco Du Mathan	63d ago	Fresh
Parvos	166d ago	Long break
Telhimlisten	180d ago	Long break
Duyfken	184d ago	Long break
Ravenscar	194d ago	Long break
Valence D'Aumont	679d ago	Long break
Ring Of Beara	—	—
Propagation	—	—