Betsi Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:00

Betsi Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,346

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (11)	Lord Melbourne Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	32	-	88	-	19d	—	—	-17	18.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Distinct promise at Salisbury and Pontefract; still has potential; looks the one to beat
8 (6)	Incremental Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Bell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Bell	130	—	4	-	86	63	210d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Left the Gosdens for 35,000gns after quite a promising debut fourth; shortlisted
NR (13)	Romilda Bay J:TBC T:William Haggas	J: T:William Haggas	125	—	4349	74	88	72	17d	—	—	-6	13.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Best of four runs so far came on only AW start; should be thereabouts
13 (9)	Daydream Express Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	36	-	81	43	12d	—	—	-6	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Failed to build on debut run but this step up in trip could be in her favour
NR (8)	Inspiritus Bay J:TBC T:Roger Varian	J: T:Roger Varian	130	h	62	-	77	52	12d	—	—	-13	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beaten 9l on both starts so far; bred to be suited by this longer trip; must be considered
7 (15)	Enrico Caruso Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	5	-	74	34	32d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Slowly away/green when never-dangerous fifth of six at Lingfield; could improve markedly
1 (12)	Man Of Monaco Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	21	-	80	-	38d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Improvement when winning at Beverley; open to further progress but gives weight all round
5 (10)	Assail Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Newcomer; some appeal on pedigree and yard has been in excellent form over the last month
14 (5)	Karriewhitchit Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Cameron Noble T:Simon & Ed Crisford	125	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Refused to enter stalls on intended debut at Yarmouth in August; now sports a hood
6 (1)	Didactic Patrick Bay J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	130	—	3	-	73	19	42d	—	—	+1	3.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Some promise when third of five at Lingfield on debut but that wasn't a strong race
4 (4)	Apolo Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	130	—	40	-	82	-	138d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Well bred; went backwards after promising debut for the Gosdens; has since been gelded
3 (2)	Total Master Chestnut J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Ismail Mohammed	134	—	0/5	-	24	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	62.25/1	250 0%
Soundly beaten in two runs two years apart; impossible to fancy
11 (14)	Sir Cilia Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Matt Crawley	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Matt Crawley	130	h	70	-	58	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Has beaten only one home in two runs at Windsor, hooded on latest; lots to find
12 (7)	A Touch Of Silver Chestnut J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	125	—	75	-	59	-	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	62.25/1	250 0%
Long odds and scant promise in novices over this trip at Windsor and Epsom
2 (3)	Manny Boy Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	134	—	09	-	61	22	52d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Well held at triple-figure prices in AW maiden/novice and difficult to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lord Melbourne	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Incremental	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Romilda	4	7/2	7/2	4	9/2
Daydream Express	13/2	13/2	6	6	7
Inspiritus	8	8	15/2	8	8
Enrico Caruso	8	15/2	8	15/2	8
Man Of Monaco	9	9	9	9	9
Assail	9	10	10	10	10
Karriewhitchit	14	12	12	11	16
Didactic Patrick	66	33	33	33	40
Apolo	100	66	66	66	66
Total Master	250	66	80	66	100
Sir Cilia	50	80	80	80	100
A Touch Of Silver	250	80	80	80	100
Manny Boy	500	100	100	100	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Melbourne

18.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Man Of Monaco

15.6

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Romilda

13.3

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.8

9/2

Inspiritus

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.8

15/2

Incremental

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Daydream Express

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Didactic Patrick

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Enrico Caruso

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Assail

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Karriewhitchit

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Apolo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Total Master

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

250

Sir Cilia

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

A Touch Of Silver

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

250

Manny Boy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Romilda	74	88	72
Lord Melbourne	—	88	—
Incremental	—	86	63
Daydream Express	—	81	43
Inspiritus	—	77	52
Enrico Caruso	—	74	34
Man Of Monaco	—	80	—
Assail	—	—	—
Karriewhitchit	—	—	—
Didactic Patrick	—	73	19
Apolo	—	82	—
Total Master	—	24	—
Sir Cilia	—	58	—
A Touch Of Silver	—	59	—
Manny Boy	—	61	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daydream Express	12d ago	Quick return
Inspiritus	12d ago	Quick return
Sir Cilia	12d ago	Quick return
Romilda	17d ago	Fit
Lord Melbourne	19d ago	Fit
A Touch Of Silver	27d ago	Fit
Total Master	28d ago	Fit
Enrico Caruso	32d ago	Fit
Man Of Monaco	38d ago	Fit
Didactic Patrick	42d ago	Fit
Manny Boy	52d ago	Fresh
Apolo	138d ago	Long break
Incremental	210d ago	Long break
Assail	—	—
Karriewhitchit	—	—