Marlin Hotel Dublin, Supporting The National Breast Cancer Research Institute Handicap Chase

Galway

1:51

Date 2023-10-29

Distance 2m6f111y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €12,980

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Emancipator ch J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence O'Brien	J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence O'Brien	156	b	P1F-P1	113	136	-	30d	—	—	-7	26.4	13/8 38%
Had a break after two reverses in the spring, confidence-boosting hurdles win last month
5	Natural Look b J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	157	—	23F262	114	124	106	10d	—	—	+14	27.7	11/2 15%
Two hurdle wins, handicap chase debut now after Thurles second, same mark as over hurdles
4	Routine Excellence b J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	162	—	2P12-P	119	128	97	168d	—	—	+6	21.7	5/1 17%
Pulled up after interference at Killarney in May, had previously looked a progressive type
1	Brampton Belle b J:Rachael Blackmore(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	35430-	123	128	106	223d	—	—	+11	25	13/2 13%
Two wins over hurdles, 0-5 over fences, two satisfactory handicap runs before a lesser one
7	Old Soul b J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Liz Doyle	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Liz Doyle	156	t	3210-4	113	127	54	22d	—	—	+7	19.1	7 14%
Clonmel beginners' winner, no encouragement from his first two handicap attempts
3	The Dabbler b J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	164	p	P4-846	121	133	87	76d	—	—	+12	20.1	11/1 8%
Below best over hurdles last time, made mistakes at the festival but has run well here
2	Falco Blitz b J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	164	—	063-0U	121	132	-	36d	—	—	+15	19	22/1 4%
Four wins for Nicky Henderson, generally regressive Irish form, has come down in handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Emancipator	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Natural Look	6	11/2	5/1	11/2	5
Routine Excellence	4	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Brampton Belle	11/2	11/2	13/2	11/2	6
Old Soul	7	6	6/1	6	6
The Dabbler	11/1	10	9/1	10	9
Falco Blitz	22/1	22	20/1	22	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Natural Look

27.7

OR: 16 Form: 7.7 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Emancipator

26.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

13/8

3rd

Brampton Belle

OR: 18.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 4

13/2

Routine Excellence

21.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

The Dabbler

20.1

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Old Soul

19.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Falco Blitz

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brampton Belle Top Rated	123	128	106
The Dabbler	121	133	87
Falco Blitz	121	132	—
Routine Excellence	119	128	97
Natural Look	114	124	106
Emancipator	113	136	—
Old Soul	113	127	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Natural Look	10d ago	Quick return
Old Soul	22d ago	Fit
Emancipator	30d ago	Fit
Falco Blitz	36d ago	Fit
The Dabbler	76d ago	Fresh
Routine Excellence	168d ago	Long break
Brampton Belle	223d ago	Long break