www.swordsecurity.com Nursery Handicap – Galway

Galway

13:40

www.swordsecurity.com Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-30

Distance 7f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €6,785

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Dont Do Dramas Bay J:W J Lee T:Michael Mulvany	J:W J Lee T:Michael Mulvany	132	—	09781	64	70	67	13d	—	—	-1	19.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Improved on nursery debut for all-the-way Gowran win over Guest Star; can confirm form
4 (2)	Guest Star Bay J:Colin Keane T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	J:Colin Keane T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	136	b	982802	68	72	68	13d	—	—	-1	16	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Handled heavy at Gowran when second to Dont Do Dramas; one to consider
9 (4)	Dolce Far Niente Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Joseph G Murphy	121	—	0003	53	71	66	13d	—	—	-6	7.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Gowran third to Dont Do Dramas when racing wrong side; should go well
2 (9)	Barley Cove Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	138	—	058734	70	70	48	12d	—	—	0	9.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Staying on in Navan contests recently suggest this step up in trip is what he wants
6 (5)	Thia Bay J:N G McCullagh T:J S Bolger	J:N G McCullagh T:J S Bolger	129	—	435064	61	74	62	13d	—	—	-8	7.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Gowran fourth to Dont Do Dramas will struggle to reverse that form off 1lb lower
3 (8)	Apollo Prince Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	137	b	200	69	71	37	46d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Debut promise here not built on; upped in trip and blinkers fitted but others preferred
10 (6)	Amerigo Vespucci Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	120	ht	0878	52	72	43	26d	—	—	-3	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Nursery debut at Naas underwhelming and plenty to find with Barley Cove on that run
11 (7)	Maria Land Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	119	h	9985	51	70	58	13d	—	—	-4	2	2.75/1	12 8%
Four of today's rivals ahead of her in Gowran nursery on latest, may need more time
1 (11)	Nika Pika Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Magee	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Magee	139	t	083410	71	72	51	46d	—	—	+7	15.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Spoilt chance by running too keenly in Naas nursery latest; down 3lb but others preferred
7 (1)	I've Been Dreaming Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Mark Fahey	J:Ronan Whelan T:Mark Fahey	125	—	8980	57	63	29	17d	—	—	-1	2.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Hard to make a case for unless testing conditions bring about major improvement
8 (10)	Victor's Choice Chestnut J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Adrian Murray	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Adrian Murray	125	—	060	57	65	41	46d	—	—	-2	3.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Low-key efforts in three runs so far and hard to make a case for on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dont Do Dramas	3	3	3	11/4	3
Guest Star	7/2	4	4	4	4
Dolce Far Niente	5	5	9/2	5	5
Barley Cove	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Thia	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	6
Apollo Prince	11	12	11	11	12
Amerigo Vespucci	16	14	14	14	14
Maria Land	12	12	11	11	12
Nika Pika	16	14	11	11	14
I've Been Dreaming	33	22	20	22	22
Victor's Choice	40	28	14	14	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dont Do Dramas

19.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Guest Star

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Nika Pika

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.4

Barley Cove

9.8

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Apollo Prince

9.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

Dolce Far Niente

7.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

Thia

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Victor's Choice

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

I've Been Dreaming

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Maria Land

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Amerigo Vespucci

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nika Pika	71	72	51
Barley Cove	70	70	48
Apollo Prince	69	71	37
Guest Star	68	72	68
Dont Do Dramas	64	70	67
Thia	61	74	62
I've Been Dreaming	57	63	29
Victor's Choice	57	65	41
Dolce Far Niente	53	71	66
Amerigo Vespucci	52	72	43
Maria Land	51	70	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barley Cove	12d ago	Quick return
Dont Do Dramas	13d ago	Quick return
Guest Star	13d ago	Quick return
Dolce Far Niente	13d ago	Quick return
Thia	13d ago	Quick return
Maria Land	13d ago	Quick return
I've Been Dreaming	17d ago	Fit
Amerigo Vespucci	26d ago	Fit
Apollo Prince	46d ago	Fresh
Nika Pika	46d ago	Fresh
Victor's Choice	46d ago	Fresh