Tote, Never Beaten by SP Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race

Curragh

15:07

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 1m4f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €10,030

Winning Time 3m 7.92s (slow by 35.02s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Helvic Dream (IRE) Mr P W Mullins · Noel Meade	4/6F	Won
2nd	Coeur Sublime (IRE) Mr A Jones · Henry De Bromhead	7/4	.75
3rd	Lord Erskine (IRE) Miss M Walsh · H Rogers	4/1	1.75
4th	Cafe Con Leche (IRE) Mr A D Bustin · C Byrnes	20/1	11
5th	Kottayam (IRE) Mr S P Queally · John Queally	50/1	1.75
6th	Ally Cay (IRE) Mr K P Healy · Paul W Flynn	150/1	.5
7th	Balaclava (IRE) Ms M Kelly · D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	300/1	5.5
8th	Applejack Poet (IRE) Mr A O Harrington · Liz Doyle	100/1	2.5
9th	Encore De Mer (IRE) Katie Lawless · S M Duffy	300/1	10
10th	Power To Love (IRE) Mr F J Gillen · Miss Katy Brown	300/1	2.25
11th	Wayne R Walker (GB) Ms L Dowdall · Donal Kinsella	200/1	6.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Helvic Dream Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:Noel Meade	J:Mr P W Mullins T:Noel Meade	161	—	6-7433	105	82	71	38d	—	—	-22	33.2	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Group 1 winner at this venue in 2021 and by far the most likely winner on current form
1 (6)	Coeur Sublime Bay J:Mr A Jones(7) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mr A Jones(7) T:Henry De Bromhead	168	t	1/1	-	69	14	39d	—	—	-3	25.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Talented jumper, made it two from two on Flat with 1m6f Listowel win, place chance here
2 (3)	Lord Erskine Bay J:Miss M Walsh(7) T:H Rogers	J:Miss M Walsh(7) T:H Rogers	168	b	165419	87	57	28	16d	—	—	+3	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2017 Irish Cesarewitch winner, two wins this term confirm his preference for staying trips
NR (2)	Sugaree Grey J:TBC T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J: T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	157	—	7319	84	67	44	73d	—	—	+6	21.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
A 1m4f maiden winner at Leopardstown, handicap debut over C&D was too bad to be true
7 (7)	Cafe Con Leche b/br J:Mr A D Bustin(7) T:C Byrnes	J:Mr A D Bustin(7) T:C Byrnes	158	—	/59073	67	57	40	—	—	—	+5	8.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Useful hurdler but a maiden in this sphere and faces a tough task
4 (11)	Kottayam Bay J:Mr S P Queally(7) T:John Queally	J:Mr S P Queally(7) T:John Queally	161	—	1-6807	64	53	32	24d	—	—	+9	11	24.75/1	100 1%
Bumper winner and 2m Flat winner for Willie Mullins, fair C&D handicap run on stable debut
10 (1)	Ally Cay Bay J:Mr K P Healy(7) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Mr K P Healy(7) T:Paul W Flynn	156	p	/080/9	49	43	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Dual-purpose winner has been soundly beaten over fences lately; tough task
5 (8)	Applejack Poet Bay J:Mr A O Harrington(7) T:Liz Doyle	J:Mr A O Harrington(7) T:Liz Doyle	158	—	—	-	-	-	9d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Hurdle winner but beaten a long way in a Leopardstown Flat maiden recently
6 (5)	Balaclava Brown J:Ms M Kelly(7) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	J:Ms M Kelly(7) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	158	—	807-05	34	31	-	68d	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Placed over jumps, poor form on the Flat, no chance at these weights
8 (10)	Wayne R Walker Grey J:Ms L Dowdall(7) T:Donal Kinsella	J:Ms L Dowdall(7) T:Donal Kinsella	158	t	50-706	41	39	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Has been struggling over hurdles since his last Flat run, makes no appeal on overall form
11 (12)	Encore De Mer Bay J:Katie Lawless(7) T:S M Duffy	J:Katie Lawless(7) T:S M Duffy	153	—	0-7080	41	35	17	24d	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Never better than sixth in six outings, faces an unenviable task at these weights
12 (9)	Power To Love Bay J:Mr F J Gillen(7) T:Miss Katy Brown	J:Mr F J Gillen(7) T:Miss Katy Brown	153	—	3-0000	40	32	-3	43d	—	—	+2	2.3	74.75/1	300 0%
Maiden is rated only 40 on turf and has no chance in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Helvic Dream	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11
Coeur Sublime	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8	15/8
Lord Erskine	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Sugaree	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Cafe Con Leche	25	25	25	25	25
Kottayam	100	66	50	66	50
Ally Cay	200	150	150	150	125
Applejack Poet	150	100	100	100	80
Balaclava	300	250	250	250	250
Wayne R Walker	300	200	200	200	100
Encore De Mer	300	250	250	250	250
Power To Love	300	300	300	300	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Helvic Dream

33.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 19.4

8/11

2nd

Coeur Sublime

25.9

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Lord Erskine

21.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Sugaree

21.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.3

13/2

Kottayam

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

100

Cafe Con Leche

8.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Power To Love

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

300

Applejack Poet

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ally Cay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Balaclava

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Wayne R Walker

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Encore De Mer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Helvic Dream	105	82	71
Lord Erskine	87	57	28
Sugaree	84	67	44
Cafe Con Leche	67	57	40
Kottayam	64	53	32
Ally Cay	49	43	—
Wayne R Walker	41	39	—
Encore De Mer	41	35	17
Power To Love	40	32	—
Balaclava	34	31	—
Coeur Sublime	—	69	14
Applejack Poet	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Applejack Poet	9d ago	Quick return
Lord Erskine	16d ago	Fit
Kottayam	24d ago	Fit
Encore De Mer	24d ago	Fit
Helvic Dream	38d ago	Fit
Coeur Sublime	39d ago	Fit
Power To Love	43d ago	Fit
Balaclava	68d ago	Fresh
Sugaree	73d ago	Fresh
Cafe Con Leche	—	—
Ally Cay	—	—
Wayne R Walker	—	—