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Curragh

16:07

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 1m6f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €8,850

Runners (23)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (15)	Whatcouldhavebeen Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	138	—	5141-6	72	75	48	24d	—	—	-6	9.9	9/2 18%
Smart hurdler should have improved from her comeback Flat run over 1m4f here; big player
15 (22)	Ellaat Bay J:Sean Davis T:C Byrnes	J:Sean Davis T:C Byrnes	128	—	5-5401	62	75	58	15d	—	—	-7	7	13/2 13%
Back on track when winning on heavy at Gowran last week; a player off 6lb higher
1 (9)	Nostra Casa Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Paul W Flynn	J:Luke McAteer T:Paul W Flynn	140	tp	0/1431	74	78	61	26d	—	—	-2	9.3	15/2 12%
Won at Thurles over 2m last time, with two solid efforts in between; up 8lb but go close
NR (23)	Folly Beach Bay J:TBC T:M A Molloy	J: T:M A Molloy	127	h	261992	61	82	59	13d	—	—	-8	19.2	12 8%
Was 2nd to Firm Belief at Navan last time over this trip; raised 5lb for that but go well
13 (11)	Rain Bay J:W J Lee T:James M Barcoe	J:W J Lee T:James M Barcoe	131	—	403503	65	79	60	13d	—	—	+3	9.4	14 7%
Won in France last year and some decent efforts in defeat here; can go well
7 (16)	Plains Indian Chestnut J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	135	—	3-874	69	79	56	24d	—	—	+4	8.1	20 5%
Has run respectably a few times on the Flat this year, including over 1m4f here last time
NR (10)	Caradoc Bay J:TBC T:E McNamara	J: T:E McNamara	146	t	04-985	80	73	38	40d	—	—	+4	8.7	20 5%
Four wins in UK and showed a bit more at Listowel last time; player if improving; reserve
3 (13)	Beautiful Chaos Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Ross O'Sullivan	136	—	477220	70	81	59	24d	—	—	+7	12.4	18/1 5%
Forgiven a poor run here last time when the jockey's stirrup leathers broke; be involved
R21 (6)	Ricky Bobby Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Timothy Doyle	124	—	9/6-06	58	74	44	15d	—	—	-1	3.2	20 5%
Hurdle winner was beaten 5l by Ellaat at Gowran last time; longer trip a help; reserve
18 (21)	Master Dunraven Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	127	—	553940	68	77	54	26d	—	—	-1	7.9	10/1 9%
Some decent efforts in defeat but has to bounce back from a poor Thurles run
5 (20)	Killeemore Lad Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	135	—	068303	69	79	24	26d	—	—	+6	10.5	20/1 5%
Was 5l behind Nostra Casa at Thurles last time; is 6lb better off with that rival today
14 (7)	Paradise Lost Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Charles O'Brien	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Charles O'Brien	130	—	04-755	64	77	29	15d	—	—	-3	6.2	15/2 12%
Solid return to the Flat behind Ellaat at Gowran last time and can be involved
20 (12)	Dubai Clover Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	124	—	634930	58	80	67	1d	—	—	+2	5.8	22/1 4%
Dual-purpose maiden has been running well enough but needs to find more
11 (4)	Penny Jar b/br J:Colin Keane T:Patrick Downey	J:Colin Keane T:Patrick Downey	133	t	403	67	77	58	31d	—	—	+1	9.5	28/1 3%
Triple hurdle winner last year has run respectably in three Flat maidens this term
19 (19)	Rodney Bay Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Leigh Roche T:Joseph Anthony Murray	125	—	40-530	59	77	56	—	—	—	-1	3.5	20/1 5%
Close 3rd at Galway before disappointing at Down Royal; decent hurdle run since
16 (18)	Make Good Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Shane Crawley	J:Chris Hayes T:Shane Crawley	128	t	41/3-7	62	73	55	26d	—	—	-2	8	15/2 12%
Grade 2 hurdle winner in 2020 but only two Flat runs since; can improve from comeback run
4 (5)	Yamalia Star Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	136	—	234527	77	82	53	16d	—	—	+8	12.1	40 3%
Just denied over over 1m3f at Killarney; questions after was tailed-off at Naas since
NR (14)	Final Endeavour Bay J:TBC T:H Rogers	J: T:H Rogers	119	p	-07000	53	78	50	1d	—	—	-3	2.1	33 3%
Has been poor in four starts this year and isn't easy to fancy; reserve
6 (17)	Peddler's Lane Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	J:Robbie Colgan T:A J Martin	135	b	550	69	75	48	19d	—	—	0	6.5	40/1 2%
Of interest if market support on handicap debut with blinkers added
12 (3)	Firm Belief Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Rodger Sweeney	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Rodger Sweeney	131	—	909981	65	81	59	13d	—	—	+9	15.7	12/1 8%
Won well at Navan over this trip; got a 10lb hike for that but has hit form, so respected
9 (8)	Three Comets Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	135	p	6-6800	69	78	46	90d	—	—	+3	5.5	40 3%
Won over 2m at Thurles last year off 1lb lower but hasn't repeated that form since
10 (1)	Red Secret Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Kevin Michael Smith	J:Gary Carroll T:Kevin Michael Smith	134	tb	573/4/	68	81	-	—	—	—	+3	5	80 1%
Dual AW winner was unplaced in three maiden hurdles when last seen; can only be watched
8 (2)	Play The Game Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	135	ht	500/5-	69	77	-	—	—	—	+3	5.2	125/1 1%
Has had just two starts this year and was poor over fences last time; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Whatcouldhavebeen	9/2	4	4	9/2	5
Ellaat	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	13/2
Nostra Casa	15/2	7/1	7	7	7
Folly Beach	12	12	12	12	12
Rain	14	12/1	12	12	12
Plains Indian	18	20	18	18	18
Caradoc	20	18	18	20	20
Beautiful Chaos	16	18/1	16	18/1	16
Ricky Bobby	20	20	20	20	20
Master Dunraven	10/1	10/1	10	10/1	10
Killeemore Lad	20	20/1	18	20/1	18
Paradise Lost	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7
Dubai Clover	20	22/1	20	22/1	20
Penny Jar	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	22
Rodney Bay	18	20/1	18/1	18	16
Make Good	15/2	7/1	7	7	7
Yamalia Star	40	40	40	40	33
Final Endeavour	SP	33	33	33	33
Peddler's Lane	40	40/1	33	40/1	33
Firm Belief	12/1	11/1	11	11	11
Three Comets	40	40	28	40	40
Red Secret	66	80	66	66	66
Play The Game	66	125/1	100/1	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Folly Beach

19.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 8 Odds: 8.5

2nd

Firm Belief

15.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Beautiful Chaos

12.4

OR: 5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Yamalia Star

12.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.2

Killeemore Lad

10.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Whatcouldhavebeen

9.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Penny Jar

9.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

28/1

Rain

9.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.9 Odds: 1.7

Nostra Casa

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Caradoc

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Plains Indian

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Make Good

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Master Dunraven

7.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ellaat

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Peddler's Lane

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

40/1

Paradise Lost

6.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dubai Clover

5.8

OR: 2 Form: 2.7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Three Comets

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Play The Game

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Red Secret

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Rodney Bay

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ricky Bobby

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Final Endeavour

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Caradoc	80	73	38
Yamalia Star	77	82	53
Nostra Casa	74	78	61
Whatcouldhavebeen	72	75	48
Beautiful Chaos	70	81	59
Plains Indian	69	79	56
Killeemore Lad	69	79	24
Peddler's Lane	69	75	48
Three Comets	69	78	46
Play The Game	69	77	—
Master Dunraven	68	77	54
Red Secret	68	81	—
Penny Jar	67	77	58
Rain	65	79	60
Firm Belief	65	81	59
Paradise Lost	64	77	29
Ellaat	62	75	58
Make Good	62	73	55
Folly Beach	61	82	59
Rodney Bay	59	77	56
Ricky Bobby	58	74	44
Dubai Clover	58	80	67
Final Endeavour	53	78	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dubai Clover	1d ago	Quick return
Final Endeavour	1d ago	Quick return
Folly Beach	13d ago	Quick return
Rain	13d ago	Quick return
Firm Belief	13d ago	Quick return
Ellaat	15d ago	Fit
Ricky Bobby	15d ago	Fit
Paradise Lost	15d ago	Fit
Yamalia Star	16d ago	Fit
Peddler's Lane	19d ago	Fit
Whatcouldhavebeen	24d ago	Fit
Plains Indian	24d ago	Fit
Beautiful Chaos	24d ago	Fit
Nostra Casa	26d ago	Fit
Master Dunraven	26d ago	Fit
Killeemore Lad	26d ago	Fit
Make Good	26d ago	Fit
Penny Jar	31d ago	Fit
Caradoc	40d ago	Fit
Three Comets	90d ago	Fresh
Rodney Bay	—	—
Red Secret	—	—
Play The Game	—	—