Kempton (AW)

16:40

Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-01
Distance 7f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £4,187

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (2)
Arizona Desert
Chestnut
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
129 336316
69
-
-
2d -36
33.9
Non Runner
3 (10)
Loaded Quiver
Bay
J:Joshua Bryan
T:Archie Watson
J:Joshua Bryan
T:Archie Watson
134 p 2216
74
84
-
64d +1
23.7
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Gelded snce latest run and drops 1lb to a mark which looks feasible; probable player.
2 (8)
Stratocracy
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Richard Hannon
J:Sean Levey
T:Richard Hannon
135 749
75
82
-
46d -6
11.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Initial mark looks workable and it would be no surprise to see him more closely involved.
7 (5)
Pretence
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Hugo Palmer
129 001254
69
83
35
20d 0
14.3
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Won 7f Chester seller in June; needs to be at her best if she is to win.
5 (7)
Miami Heat
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
J:David Probert
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
132 575
72
79
-
85d -1
8
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Showed some promise on his first two starts but on stiff mark for this nursery debut.
6 (4)
Xaarine
Bay
J:Kevin Stott
T:David Menuisier
J:Kevin Stott
T:David Menuisier
130 5320
70
70
50
88d +2
13.1
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Will need improvement to defy this initial mark but that is not ruled out.
4 (3)
High Handed
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Brian O'Rourke
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Brian O'Rourke
132 h 403
72
82
66
27d +3
10.7
2.50/1
11
9%
Mark looks fair based on debut but has a bit to prove on what she's produced since.
9 (1)
Doubletalk
Bay
J:Oliver Stammers
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Oliver Stammers
T:Charlie Johnston
129 728127
69
81
-
55d +8
16.5
2.75/1
12
8%
7.5f winner; weakened out of latest start at Haydock; returns from break; each-way claims.
10 (11)
Dark Viper
Grey
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Richard Hannon
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Richard Hannon
128 488
68
83
56
25d 0
6.1
3.75/1
16
6%
Showed promise here on debut; initial mark plausible and could see him figure this time.
1 (6)
Valadero
Chestnut
J:Liam Wright(7)
T:Darryll Holland
J:Liam Wright(7)
T:Darryll Holland
135 22439
75
77
-
42d +7
12.5
3.25/1
14
7%
Showed early promise; gelded since last seen; may do better now handicapping
11 (9)
Zinchenko
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
128 0847
68
82
47
23d +1
5.9
4.75/1
20
5%
Last on nursery debut at Windsor (1m, good); drops 3lb with a bit to prove.
Horse bet365 Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes William Hill
Arizona Desert
SP SP SP SP
Loaded Quiver
10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
Stratocracy
7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2
Pretence
9/2 11/2 5/1 5 5
Miami Heat
8 15/2 8/1 15/2 8
Xaarine
9 17/2 9/1 9 17/2
High Handed
11 10 10 10 10
Doubletalk
12 11 11 11 11
Dark Viper
16 16 16 16 16
Valadero
14 14 14 14 14
Zinchenko
20 16 16 18 16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Arizona Desert
33.9
OR: 4.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 20
2nd Loaded Quiver
23.7
OR: 6 Form: 11 Odds: 6.7
10/3
3rd Doubletalk
16.5
OR: 4.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2
12
4 Pretence
14.3
OR: 4.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4
11/2
5 Xaarine
13.1
OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1
9/1
6 Valadero
12.5
OR: 6.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.6
14
7 Stratocracy
11.5
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2
7/2
8 High Handed
10.7
OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2
11
9 Miami Heat
8
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
8/1
10 Dark Viper
6.1
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16
11 Zinchenko
5.9
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Stratocracy
75
82
Valadero
75
77
Loaded Quiver
74
84
Miami Heat
72
79
High Handed
72
82
66
Xaarine
70
70
50
Arizona Desert
69
Pretence
69
83
35
Doubletalk
69
81
Dark Viper
68
83
56
Zinchenko
68
82
47

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Arizona Desert 2d ago Quick return
Pretence 20d ago Fit
Zinchenko 23d ago Fit
Dark Viper 25d ago Fit
High Handed 27d ago Fit
Valadero 42d ago Fit
Stratocracy 46d ago Fresh
Doubletalk 55d ago Fresh
Loaded Quiver 64d ago Fresh
Miami Heat 85d ago Fresh
Xaarine 88d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.