Unibet Zero% Mission/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

17:45

Date 2023-11-01

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (7)	Topanga Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	2	-	100	62	16d	—	—	-36	25	0.10/1	2/5 71%
Most encouraging debut when 2nd over C&D 16 days ago; sets standard & there's more to come
1 (4)	Dancing Free Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.25/1	6 17%
230,000euros 2yo; half-sister to three winners in France; dam useful; yard run 2 newcomers
3 (2)	First Kiss Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Richard Kingscote T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	8 13%
Sales price soared to 115,000gns as a yearling; one of two interesting newcomers for yard
5 (5)	Queen Jean Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lots to like on paper & represents stable that's shone with 2yos this year; interesting
8 (10)	Tiaraqueen Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Dam a useful and well-related 7f-1m winner; represents powerful yard; betting to guide
2 (9)	Expected Arrival Brown J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
65,000gns yearling; dam a useful 1m2f-1m4f winner; betting to guide on debut
10 (1)	Zelma Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	J:Billy Loughnane T:S Woods	128	—	7	-	56	-	19d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Dropped away on slow ground on recent Newmarket debut; bred to do better
4 (6)	Pickled Pepper Bay J:Neil Callan T:Dean Ivory	J:Neil Callan T:Dean Ivory	128	—	90	-	62	-	161d	—	—	-1	0.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Down the field in two 5f events in the spring; off since; 7f should suit but needs more
7 (8)	Sweet Talkin Sue Bay J:Sean Levey T:Hugo Palmer	J:Sean Levey T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	87	-	63	19	20d	—	—	-1	0.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Modest form in two 7f runs this autumn; not easily recommended
6 (3)	Sapphira Bay J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	08	-	77	35	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Shaped better over C&D 16 days ago but has plenty to find with Topanga on that run

Horse	bet365	Coral
Topanga	2/5	1/3
Dancing Free	6	6
First Kiss	8	8
Queen Jean	8	17/2
Tiaraqueen	22	22
Expected Arrival	33	28
Zelma	66	50
Pickled Pepper	100	80
Sweet Talkin Sue	100	80
Sapphira	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Topanga

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

2/5

2nd

Dancing Free

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

3rd

Queen Jean

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

First Kiss

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Tiaraqueen

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Expected Arrival

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Zelma

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Sapphira

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Pickled Pepper

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100

Sweet Talkin Sue

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Topanga	—	100	62
Dancing Free	—	—	—
First Kiss	—	—	—
Queen Jean	—	—	—
Tiaraqueen	—	—	—
Expected Arrival	—	—	—
Zelma	—	56	—
Pickled Pepper	—	62	—
Sweet Talkin Sue	—	63	19
Sapphira	—	77	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Topanga	16d ago	Fit
Sapphira	16d ago	Fit
Zelma	19d ago	Fit
Sweet Talkin Sue	20d ago	Fit
Pickled Pepper	161d ago	Long break
Dancing Free	—	—
First Kiss	—	—
Queen Jean	—	—
Tiaraqueen	—	—
Expected Arrival	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.