Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:38

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-01

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,454

Winning Time 2m 30.87s (slow by 3.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Nivelle's Magic (GB) Aidan Keeley · Simon Earle	9/2	Won
2nd	Kitty Foyle (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	5/2F	1
3rd	Pablo Prince (GB) Hayley Turner · Karen Jewell	11/1	0.1
4th	Where's Tom (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Michael Madgwick	7/1	2.5
5th	Hashtagmetoo (USA) Callum Shepherd · Jamie Osborne	6/1	1.5
6th	Wilkie (GB) Dylan Hogan · John Butler	15/2	.5
7th	Bristol Hill (IRE) P J McDonald · Kevin Frost	33/1	.75
8th	Total Lockdown (GB) Darragh Keenan · Martin Dunne	17/2	.5
9th	Mirabello Bay (IRE) Liam Keniry · J S Moore	11/1	1.5
10th	Strictly Dreaming (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	40/1	.5
11th	Gold Standard (IRE) William Carson · Tony Carroll	80/1	0.3
12th	Love Mystery (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Olly Murphy	40/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (10)	Kitty Foyle Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	—	584	65	74	45	19d	—	—	-9	9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Bred to be better than she has shown and may improve for the switch to a handicap
10 (4)	Nivelle's Magic Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Simon Earle	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Simon Earle	130	—	343114	55	71	53	40d	—	—	+1	19.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Would have finished much closer with a clear run when fourth of 14 at Kempton last time
6 (1)	Wilkie Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	135	p	756002	60	72	43	11d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second at Wolverhampton 11 days ago and claims from 1lb higher; cheekpieces on
3 (5)	Hashtagmetoo Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	139	—	563231	64	71	61	29d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Both wins this year at Wolverhampton, but has won on Polytrack; a player from 3lb higher
8 (8)	Where's Tom Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	134	—	422535	59	74	68	140d	—	—	0	9.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Usually there or therabouts around here, but a losing run of 26 is hard to ignore
5 (6)	Total Lockdown Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	137	h	675243	62	71	-	16d	—	—	+2	11	2.25/1	9/1 10%
1-18; running well in defeat on turf lately, but out of the frame in all three AW starts
9 (9)	Mirabello Bay Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	131	p	5V7769	61	73	41	6d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-12 on turf and 4-10 on the AW, though hasn't been in much form on either surface lately
4 (7)	Pablo Prince Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Karen Jewell	J:Hayley Turner T:Karen Jewell	138	—	3-1448	63	73	64	40d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	7	3.75/1	16 6%
All three wins have come over C&D; probably needed return from six months off at Kempton
2 (3)	Bristol Hill Bay J:P J McDonald T:Kevin Frost	J:P J McDonald T:Kevin Frost	139	h	621214	64	72	55	183d	—	—	+13	18.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ran well on Tapeta earlier in the year, but Polytrack form doesn't match up; may need it
1 (2)	Love Mystery Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Olly Murphy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Olly Murphy	141	h	25460-	66	72	-	—	—	—	+2	6.2	8.00/1	33 3%
0-14 under rules; drops in class for this return to the level but others more solid
11 (12)	Strictly Dreaming Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	130	—	920368	60	73	12	49d	—	—	+3	5.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
0-10; more out than in and has finished out of the frame in three starts on the AW
12 (11)	Gold Standard Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	125	—	1832-0	50	72	-	30d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
C&D winner who is 3-43; will need to step up quickly from his moderate return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kitty Foyle	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Nivelle's Magic	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	4
Wilkie	5	9/2	9/2	5	5
Hashtagmetoo	11/2	13/2	11/2	6	6
Where's Tom	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Total Lockdown	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Mirabello Bay	9	9	9	9/1	17/2
Pablo Prince	16	14	14	14	14
Bristol Hill	16	18/1	16	16	14/1
Love Mystery	33	33	28	33	28/1
Strictly Dreaming	40	40	40	40/1	40/1
Gold Standard	66	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hashtagmetoo

22.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Nivelle's Magic

19.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Bristol Hill

18.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Wilkie

11.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Total Lockdown

OR: 3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Where's Tom

9.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Kitty Foyle

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Pablo Prince

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Love Mystery

6.2

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

Strictly Dreaming

5.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Mirabello Bay

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Gold Standard

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Mystery	66	72	—
Kitty Foyle	65	74	45
Hashtagmetoo	64	71	61
Bristol Hill	64	72	55
Pablo Prince	63	73	64
Total Lockdown	62	71	—
Mirabello Bay	61	73	41
Wilkie	60	72	43
Strictly Dreaming	60	73	12
Where's Tom	59	74	68
Nivelle's Magic	55	71	53
Gold Standard	50	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mirabello Bay	6d ago	Quick return
Wilkie	11d ago	Quick return
Total Lockdown	16d ago	Fit
Kitty Foyle	19d ago	Fit
Hashtagmetoo	29d ago	Fit
Gold Standard	30d ago	Fit
Nivelle's Magic	40d ago	Fit
Pablo Prince	40d ago	Fit
Strictly Dreaming	49d ago	Fresh
Where's Tom	140d ago	Long break
Bristol Hill	183d ago	Long break
Love Mystery	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.