EBF And Traffic Lights Jamie "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)

Stratford

13:45

Date 2023-11-02

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £6,535

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Bowenspark Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	154	—	1144-	-	-	-	201d	—	—	-28	27.4	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Two-time bumper winner who holds leading claims if taking to hurdles at the first attempt
9	Realisation Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Jonathan Burke T:Charlie Longsdon	147	—	2/1-	-	-	-	373d	—	—	0	18.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Bolted up in Bangor bumper last October; absent since but has considerable potential
1	Macanogue Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Dr Richard Newland	160	—	/959-1	115	123	107	174d	—	—	+19	29.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Won Kilbeggan maiden in May and entitled to respect under 6lb penalty on this stable debut
8	Clararose Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	147	—	602-3	-	115	39	28d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Third at Warwick on hurdle debut and she's open to improvement for her top yard
4	Damarta Chestnut J:TBC T:Olly Murphy	J: T:Olly Murphy	154	h	43-457	-	123	109	7d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has shown promise but his headstrong tendencies are proving to be a negative
6	Lone Soldier Bay J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Dan Skelton	154	—	6-8	-	96	61	31d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Soundly beaten on last month's hurdle debut and Harry Skelton rides stablemate Clararose
7	Thatza Dazzler Bay J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	154	h	55-9	-	89	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Well beaten at 40-1 on his hurdle/stable debut at Chepstow three weeks ago
3	Crac De Megaudais Bay J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Half-brother to h'dle/chase winner Fly De Megaudais (RPR 94); may be best watched on debut
5	Grain Trade Bay J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	154	—	0-	-	-	-	222d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Tailed off at 50-1 on debut in Newbury bumper in March; now goes hurdling

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bowenspark	4/7	4/7	4/7	4/7	4/7
Realisation	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Macanogue	7	7	7	7	7
Clararose	11	11	11	11	11
Damarta	12	12	12	12	12/1
Lone Soldier	80	66	50	66	66
Thatza Dazzler	150	125/1	100	125/1	100/1
Crac De Megaudais	150	200	200	200	200
Grain Trade	200	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Macanogue

29.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

2nd

Bowenspark

27.4

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 19.4

4/7

3rd

Realisation

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.4

10/3

Clararose

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Damarta

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Lone Soldier

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Thatza Dazzler

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Crac De Megaudais

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Grain Trade

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Macanogue	115	123	107
Bowenspark	—	—	—
Realisation	—	—	—
Clararose	—	115	39
Damarta	—	123	109
Lone Soldier	—	96	61
Thatza Dazzler	—	89	—
Crac De Megaudais	—	—	—
Grain Trade	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Damarta	7d ago	Quick return
Thatza Dazzler	20d ago	Fit
Clararose	28d ago	Fit
Lone Soldier	31d ago	Fit
Macanogue	174d ago	Long break
Bowenspark	201d ago	Long break
Grain Trade	222d ago	Long break
Realisation	373d ago	Long break
Crac De Megaudais	—	—