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Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Fireworks Spectacular Handicap

Date 2023-11-02
Distance 6f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £5,051

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
6 (4)
Masterclass
Grey
J:Callum Shepherd
T:David Simcock
J:Callum Shepherd
T:David Simcock
 135 p 741062
68
81
68
 8d — — -3
19.2
0.69/1
11/4
27%
2nd on tricky terms at Kempton last week; style of racing not ideally suited to this track
1 (2)
Lilkian
Chestnut
J:Liam Wright(7)
T:Darryll Holland
J:Liam Wright(7)
T:Darryll Holland
 141 — 430681
74
77
55
 7d — — +1
23.3
0.69/1
11/4
27%
Scampered clear late on at Lingfield last week; well in under a penalty; solid chance
9 (1)
Confederation
Grey
J:David Probert
T:Dylan Cunha
J:David Probert
T:Dylan Cunha
 130 t 409245
63
83
49
 57d — — -4
9.8
1.38/1
11/2
15%
0-11 for this yard but he's often run well; good draw for a prominent racer; considered
4 (5)
Crown Dreams
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Robert Cowell
J:Neil Callan
T:Robert Cowell
 136 — 2245
69
78
-
 34d — — +1
11.6
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Runner-up over 7f on first two starts; backward steps since; realistic task on h'cap debut
3 (7)
Alafdhal
Chestnut
J:Kevin Stott
T:Phil McEntee
J:Kevin Stott
T:Phil McEntee
 137 — 476587
70
75
38
 81d — — -3
8.1
1.88/1
15/2
12%
In fine form over C&D last winter; back from an unsuccessful stint in Jersey; check market
2 (10)
Em Jay Kay
Bay
J:Josephine Gordon
T:Phil McEntee
J:Josephine Gordon
T:Phil McEntee
 137 — 212325
70
79
68
 207d — — +8
15.6
2.50/1
11
9%
Two AW wins last winter; wind op during his summer break; wide draw; yard runs two
7 (8)
Starsong
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Michael Appleby
J:Finley Marsh
T:Michael Appleby
 133 hb 196247
66
82
76
 153d — — 0
8.9
2.50/1
11
9%
C&D winner off this mark in February; absent since low-key effort in June; not ruled out
8 (3)
Lynns Boy
Chestnut
J:Darragh Keenan
T:John Butler
J:Darragh Keenan
T:John Butler
 133 — -90138
66
80
65
 210d — — +8
12.3
4.75/1
20
5%
5f winner in March off 1lb lower; betting to guide back from seven months off
5 (6)
Mellys Flyer
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Charlie Wallis
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Charlie Wallis
 136 h 508408
69
80
48
 14d — — +2
5.8
6.00/1
25
4%
Yet to shine in two runs for new yard; down in grade but may need more weight off his back
10 (9)
Chico Dulce
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Rebecca Woodman
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Rebecca Woodman
 129 — 559
62
76
-
 24d — — +1
3.6
16.25/1
66
2%
More realistic opportunity now handicapping but still not easily recommended
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Masterclass
 3 11/4 3 5/2 11/4
Lilkian
 3 11/4 3 5/2 11/4
Confederation
 11/2 6 6 6 6
Crown Dreams
 8 7 15/2 7 7
Alafdhal
 7 7 15/2 13/2 7
Em Jay Kay
 10 10 11 10 11
Starsong
 9 10 11 10 10
Lynns Boy
 16 18 20 18 20
Mellys Flyer
 20 22 18 22 25
Chico Dulce
 66 50 50 50 66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Lilkian
23.3
OR: 6 Form: 10.6 Odds: 6.7
11/4
2nd Masterclass
19.2
OR: 4.5 Form: 8 Odds: 6.7
11/4
3rd Em Jay Kay
15.6
OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.1
11
4 Lynns Boy
12.3
OR: 4 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2
20
5 Crown Dreams
11.6
OR: 4.8 Form: 4 Odds: 2.9
15/2
6 Confederation
9.8
OR: 3.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4
11/2
7 Starsong
8.9
OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4
11
8 Alafdhal
8.1
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
15/2
9 Mellys Flyer
5.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25
10 Chico Dulce
3.6
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
66

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Lilkian
74
77
55
Alafdhal
70
75
38
Em Jay Kay
70
79
68
Crown Dreams
69
78
 —
Mellys Flyer
69
80
48
Masterclass
68
81
68
Starsong
66
82
76
Lynns Boy
66
80
65
Confederation
63
83
49
Chico Dulce
62
76
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Lilkian 7d ago Quick return
Masterclass 8d ago Quick return
Mellys Flyer 14d ago Fit
Chico Dulce 24d ago Fit
Crown Dreams 34d ago Fit
Confederation 57d ago Fresh
Alafdhal 81d ago Fresh
Starsong 153d ago Long break
Em Jay Kay 207d ago Long break
Lynns Boy 210d ago Long break