Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:00

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-11-02

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Universal Grace Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	130	t	924615	50	65	59	14d	—	—	-6	13.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D win in September is solid form & not seen to best effect latest; still well treated
8 (1)	Suanni Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	131	tb	574283	51	71	60	14d	—	—	-6	10.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Prominent racer who's run well in 3 of his last 4 starts; good draw but other pace on show
1 (7)	Jacquelina Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	136	—	122445	56	68	35	5d	—	—	-6	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Should be sharper for recent return but there are other pace influences to contend with
5 (4)	Street Parade Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	134	p	667823	54	65	42	23d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner off 9lb higher last November; placed on turf the last twice; each-way claims
7 (8)	Mehmo Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	132	v	133450	52	69	56	23d	—	—	-8	6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not fired on all cylinders of late but he has the ability to play a big part off this mark
NR (11)	Gustav Graves Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	134	—	452075	54	67	61	9d	—	—	-7	6.2	1.75/1	8 13%
This could be run to suit but he's not easy to win with; minor money perhaps his best hope
4 (3)	Bernard Spierpoint Bay J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	135	tv	559287	55	68	44	28d	—	—	-3	6.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Not at his best the last twice and others have more compelling claims
2 (10)	Thank The Lord Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	136	v	514014	56	67	-	23d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.75/1	12 8%
C&D winner; two turf wins this summer; not dismissed but draw could have been kinder
NR (5)	Rewilding Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	129	v	693160	49	67	51	14d	—	—	-6	10.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Wolverhampton winner in September; less good twice since; can't dismiss in a weak race
11 (2)	Lucy Lightfoot Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Brett Johnson	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Brett Johnson	126	—	895884	46	62	38	21d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Found life tough for current stable but latest C&D 4th was slightly more positive
3 (9)	Desert Illusion Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andi Brown	J:Rob Hornby T:Andi Brown	135	tp	023980	55	64	-	83d	—	—	+1	3.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Ended time with former yard badly out of sorts; new yard quick to fit a tongue-tie

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Universal Grace	7/2	7/2	4/1	10/3	7/2
Suanni	4	4	7/2	7/2	4
Jacquelina	5	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Street Parade	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mehmo	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Gustav Graves	8	6	11/2	6	6
Bernard Spierpoint	9	7	8/1	7	8/1
Thank The Lord	11	11	12	11	11
Rewilding	18	18	18	18	SP
Lucy Lightfoot	28	22	25/1	22	22
Desert Illusion	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Universal Grace

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Thank The Lord

12.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 9 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Street Parade

12.5

OR: 1 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Suanni

10.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Rewilding

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4.7

Jacquelina

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Bernard Spierpoint

6.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.7

Gustav Graves

6.2

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.7

Mehmo

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Desert Illusion

3.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0.7

Lucy Lightfoot

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jacquelina	56	68	35
Thank The Lord	56	67	—
Bernard Spierpoint	55	68	44
Desert Illusion	55	64	—
Street Parade	54	65	42
Gustav Graves	54	67	61
Mehmo	52	69	56
Suanni	51	71	60
Universal Grace	50	65	59
Rewilding	49	67	51
Lucy Lightfoot	46	62	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jacquelina	5d ago	Quick return
Gustav Graves	9d ago	Quick return
Universal Grace	14d ago	Fit
Suanni	14d ago	Fit
Rewilding	14d ago	Fit
Lucy Lightfoot	21d ago	Fit
Street Parade	23d ago	Fit
Mehmo	23d ago	Fit
Thank The Lord	23d ago	Fit
Bernard Spierpoint	28d ago	Fit
Desert Illusion	83d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Jacquelina	Front Runner
Suanni	Prominent
Thank The Lord	Prominent
Gustav Graves	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 11 runners classified.