Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Fillies,Three Runs Or Less) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

16:00

Date 2023-11-02

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Lou Lou's Gift Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	128	—	3	-	84	-	43d	—	—	-20	13.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Strong at the finish when 3rd on Yarmouth debut 6 weeks ago; open to significant progress
9 (7)	Rosa Applause Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Dam a 7f winner; stable going well and she's another newcomer of some interest
12 (11)	Staincliff Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	128	—	2	-	92	-	48d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promising debut when 2nd at Sandown in September (5f, good); 6f should suit; respected
2 (3)	Beauty Appeal Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
235,000euros half-sister to two winners out of a Group 3 winner; yard rich in 2yo talent
8 (1)	Mrs Morrell Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
180,000euros 2yo; half-sister to four winners out of a 6f-7f winner; top yard; respected
NR (10)	Sharrow Gray Grey J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	6	-	55	-	34d	—	—	-10	4.1	8.00/1	33 3%
In need of the experience at Haydock five weeks ago; can do better but she will need to
1 (5)	Ayurveda Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.75/1	28 4%
85,000gns half-sister to six winners; dam an AW winner; needs a close market check
4 (12)	Havana Ball Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
£100,000 yearling; dam a well-related 5f winner; yard can ready one; check the betting
7 (4)	Love Me Do Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
42,000gns half-sister to two winners out of a 7f winner; others have stronger paper claims
10 (9)	Sassy Soprano Bay J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	128	—	—	-	-	-	135d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Offered little on her Thirsk debut in June (6f, good); hard to recommend
5 (2)	Lady Phoebe br/gr J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Half-sister to yard's smart stayer Wise Eagle (RPR 109); 6f likely to be inadequate test
3 (8)	Ey Up Its Annie Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	128	—	7	-	28	-	43d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
33-1, slowly away and never in the hunt on September's debut (5f, heavy); lots more needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lou Lou's Gift	7/4	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8
Rosa Applause	9/4	2	2	9/4	9/4
Staincliff	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Beauty Appeal	6	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Mrs Morrell	12	12	12	12	12
Sharrow Gray	33	25	25	25	25
Ayurveda	28	25	25	28	28
Havana Ball	66	66	66	66	66
Love Me Do	150	125	125	150	150
Sassy Soprano	150	125	125	125	150
Lady Phoebe	150	125	100	150	150
Ey Up Its Annie	150	150	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lou Lou's Gift

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Staincliff

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Rosa Applause

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Beauty Appeal

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Sharrow Gray

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.1

Mrs Morrell

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ayurveda

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Havana Ball

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Love Me Do

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Sassy Soprano

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Lady Phoebe

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ey Up Its Annie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lou Lou's Gift	—	84	—
Rosa Applause	—	—	—
Staincliff	—	92	—
Beauty Appeal	—	—	—
Mrs Morrell	—	—	—
Sharrow Gray	—	55	—
Ayurveda	—	—	—
Havana Ball	—	—	—
Love Me Do	—	—	—
Sassy Soprano	—	—	—
Lady Phoebe	—	—	—
Ey Up Its Annie	—	28	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sharrow Gray	34d ago	Fit
Lou Lou's Gift	43d ago	Fit
Ey Up Its Annie	43d ago	Fit
Staincliff	48d ago	Fresh
Sassy Soprano	135d ago	Long break
Rosa Applause	—	—
Beauty Appeal	—	—
Mrs Morrell	—	—
Ayurveda	—	—
Havana Ball	—	—
Love Me Do	—	—
Lady Phoebe	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.