Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

14:45

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-02

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,025

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Digital Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	135	—	066661	76	93	75	8d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	26.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
It wasn't a strong race he won last week but he did it with some authority; leading claims
1 (1)	Algheed Bay J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	135	—	360656	76	91	80	17d	—	—	-3	10.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D winner off higher mark in January; should be approaching her peak after 2 autumn runs
9 (9)	Minnesota Lad Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	954240	74	88	48	63d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Chance on this year's best; this represents an ease in grade; others still look stronger
7 (8)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Grant Tuer	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Grant Tuer	133	v	344129	74	85	69	9d	—	—	+8	17.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two good 7f runs here preceded last week's lesser effort; others look stronger today
2 (10)	One Night Stand Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	135	—	550000	76	89	29	26d	—	—	+2	8.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Listed winner in Feb 2022; not seeing out his races of late and too much to prove for now
8 (5)	Absolutelyflawless Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	133	—	266604	74	87	43	7d	—	—	+1	8.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
2-3 on AW after her fourth here (caught wide) last week; should fare better today
3 (4)	Muscika Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David O'Meara	J:Cieren Fallon T:David O'Meara	135	v	504021	76	91	60	76d	—	—	+14	22.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Dual C&D winner; made all in steadily run race latest but more on his plate in this field
10 (7)	Kensington Agent Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	131	—	133154	72	87	71	146d	—	—	+8	13.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Four AW wins between January and April (two C&D); may come on from this return to action
6 (12)	Mersea Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	133	—	134569	74	89	-	17d	—	—	+3	8	4.25/1	18 6%
Still feasibly treated but ran poorly last time and she has the widest draw to overcome
5 (3)	Yesterday's Hero Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	—	17	75	80	29	244d	—	—	+11	14.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Debut win is modest form; off since a lesser run in March; gelded since; opposable
11 (11)	Mokaatil Brown J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	124	v	906558	65	82	53	26d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Had a quiet year and doesn't look primed to capitalise on his big slide down the weights
12 (6)	Hawajes Bay J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	122	—	4048	63	84	54	105d	—	—	+2	3.6	37.25/1	150 1%
Has shown promise here but absent since a poor handicap debut at Epsom; others look safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Digital	7/4	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4
Algheed	6	5	11/2	6	6/1
Minnesota Lad	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Surprise Picture	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
One Night Stand	10	10	10	10	11/1
Absolutelyflawless	9	10	10	10	11/1
Muscika	10	10	10	11/1	17/2
Kensington Agent	14	14	12	14	14
Mersea	18	16	14	16	16
Yesterday's Hero	20	22	22	25/1	25
Mokaatil	33	28	25	28	28
Hawajes	150	80	66	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Digital

26.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Muscika

22.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

Surprise Picture

17.2

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Yesterday's Hero

14.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

25/1

Kensington Agent

13.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Minnesota Lad

11.6

OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Algheed

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

One Night Stand

8.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Absolutelyflawless

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Mersea

OR: 6 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

Mokaatil

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Hawajes

3.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Digital	76	93	75
Algheed	76	91	80
One Night Stand	76	89	29
Muscika	76	91	60
Yesterday's Hero	75	80	29
Minnesota Lad	74	88	48
Surprise Picture	74	85	69
Absolutelyflawless	74	87	43
Mersea	74	89	—
Kensington Agent	72	87	71
Mokaatil	65	82	53
Hawajes	63	84	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Absolutelyflawless	7d ago	Quick return
Digital	8d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	9d ago	Quick return
Algheed	17d ago	Fit
Mersea	17d ago	Fit
One Night Stand	26d ago	Fit
Mokaatil	26d ago	Fit
Minnesota Lad	63d ago	Fresh
Muscika	76d ago	Fresh
Hawajes	105d ago	Long break
Kensington Agent	146d ago	Long break
Yesterday's Hero	244d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.