BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:12

BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Winning Time 1m 34.24s (fast by 0.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Queen Aminatu (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	11/4J	Won
2nd	Potapova (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	11/4J	0.1
3rd	Al Agaila (IRE) James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	9/2	0.3
4th	Coco Jamboo (IRE) Adam Farragher · Marco Botti	100/1	2.25
5th	Tarrabb (IRE) Jim Crowley · Owen Burrows	8/1	1.5
6th	Julia Augusta (GB) David Egan · Roger Varian	25/1	0.1
7th	Pastiche (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	40/1	0.2
8th	Zouky (GB) David Probert · Philip McBride	50/1	.5
9th	Nigiri (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	14/1	0.3
10th	Good Gracious (GB) Kevin Stott · William Haggas	16/1	2.25
11th	Lightship (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	16/1	0.05
12th	Zellie (FR) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	11/1	4.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (11)	Queen Aminatu Brown J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	—	737256	103	123	104	31d	—	—	+1	23	0.69/1	11/4 27%
AW record 221111132 including a convincing success in this race last year; major player
4 (5)	Potapova Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	-P5532	104	119	-	39d	—	—	+7	25.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Often there or thereabouts in Pattern company and handles Polytrack, but not the easiest
1 (2)	Al Agaila Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	-17551	95	116	97	13d	—	—	+11	28.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
4-6 on the AW; more will be needed against a few of these but frame material nonetheless
7 (3)	Zellie Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	2474-2	105	120	-	185d	—	—	+11	21.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Former Group 1 winner on turf; off six months, but still worthy of respect on AW debut
6 (9)	Tarrabb Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	128	t	5-2395	92	110	82	59d	—	—	+4	12.9	2.25/1	10 10%
First and second in two AW starts, but well held in one previous go at Listed level
10 (1)	Nigiri Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	311127	103	118	57	31d	—	—	+21	28.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In fine form earlier in year; second in Group 3 at Doncaster but disappointed last time
3 (10)	Lightship Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	125669	98	115	62	39d	—	—	+10	14.2	4.25/1	18 6%
In good form on the Kempton Polytrack earlier in year; each-way claims back on the AW
9 (6)	Good Gracious Bay J:Kevin Stott T:William Haggas	J:Kevin Stott T:William Haggas	126	b	041022	96	113	-	23d	—	—	+19	24.4	5.25/1	22 5%
1-1 on the AW and runner-up in Listed races the last twice; could go well
2 (8)	Julia Augusta Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	1/13-9	92	108	-	178d	—	—	+13	16.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Winning debut at Kempton in December 2021, but has only made the track three times since
12 (12)	Zouky Bay J:David Probert T:Philip McBride	J:David Probert T:Philip McBride	126	—	500125	92	109	70	31d	—	—	+17	19.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Close fifth in Ascot Listed contest last time, but last in two starts on the AW
11 (7)	Pastiche Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	126	—	214752	90	108	28	25d	—	—	+15	17.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Effective on Tapeta, but plenty to prove at this level back on Polytrack
8 (4)	Coco Jamboo Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	126	—	333211	88	107	-	31d	—	—	+30	30.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Useful handicapper who faces a daunting task at this level on her first attempt at 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Queen Aminatu	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Potapova	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Al Agaila	4	4	9/2	4	9/2
Zellie	6	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Tarrabb	10	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Nigiri	11	10	10	10	11/1
Lightship	16	18	18	18	16
Good Gracious	20	22	22	22	18/1
Julia Augusta	25	25	25	25	25
Zouky	50	40	40	40	50/1
Pastiche	50	50	50	50	50
Coco Jamboo	100	80	80	80	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Coco Jamboo

30.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 21 Odds: 0.3

100/1

2nd

Nigiri

28.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Al Agaila

28.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5

9/2

Potapova

25.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 6.8 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Good Gracious

24.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

Queen Aminatu

OR: 13.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Zellie

21.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Zouky

19.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Pastiche

17.6

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

Julia Augusta

16.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

Lightship

14.2

OR: 12 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

Tarrabb

12.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zellie	105	120	—
Potapova	104	119	—
Queen Aminatu	103	123	104
Nigiri	103	118	57
Lightship	98	115	62
Good Gracious	96	113	—
Al Agaila	95	116	97
Tarrabb	92	110	82
Julia Augusta	92	108	—
Zouky	92	109	70
Pastiche	90	108	28
Coco Jamboo	88	107	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Agaila	13d ago	Quick return
Good Gracious	23d ago	Fit
Pastiche	25d ago	Fit
Queen Aminatu	31d ago	Fit
Nigiri	31d ago	Fit
Zouky	31d ago	Fit
Coco Jamboo	31d ago	Fit
Potapova	39d ago	Fit
Lightship	39d ago	Fit
Tarrabb	59d ago	Fresh
Julia Augusta	178d ago	Long break
Zellie	185d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.