CCR Supports RBL Poppy Appeal Nursery Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

3:50

CCR Supports RBL Poppy Appeal Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (7)	St Lukes Chelsea b J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	135	b	93034	58	62	54	22d	—	—	-14	13.4	9/4 31%
0-5 but promise at Kempton last time and the addition of blinkers could give him a lift
6 (8)	Serendipitous Lady b J:Harry Davies T:Michael Bell	J:Harry Davies T:Michael Bell	133	v	04031	56	66	43	22d	—	—	+1	18.8	7/2 22%
Improved for a visor/nurseries, winning well on turf latest; 1m should suit; more to come
2 (3)	Beach Point br J:Ross Coakley T:William Knight	J:Ross Coakley T:William Knight	135	—	807	58	62	25	22d	—	—	-11	7.2	9/2 18%
Down the field in 3 novices over shorter; makes nursery debut at a low level; more to come
8 (5)	Likleman b J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	740572	56	64	24	21d	—	—	-5	10.9	11/2 15%
Best run when 2nd at Leicester three weeks ago (1m, soft); more needed but that's possible
7 (6)	Monks Mead gr J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	133	—	881262	56	62	47	55d	—	—	+5	14.7	15/2 12%
7f win on turf in July; runner-up twice since; unexposed at 1m but needs further progress
1 (1)	Sneaky Blinder b J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	135	p	796	58	64	27	26d	—	—	-4	4.4	9/1 10%
Latest run (7f here) was better; gelded since; more to come now handicapping in headgear
5 (2)	Makuri b J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Dylan Cunha	134	—	0666	57	65	-	29d	—	—	-1	3	25 4%
Beaten just one rival home in her four starts; AW may help but she's not a solid option
3 (9)	Battleofbaltimore b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	135	t	32600	58	61	-	28d	—	—	+2	4.9	40 3%
Promise on first two starts but harder to recommend on last three efforts; up in trip now
9 (4)	First Encounter b J:William Cox T:John Gallagher	J:William Cox T:John Gallagher	122	p	097	45	-	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	150 1%
BHA-rated 10 after three tailed-off efforts; cheekpieces not enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
St Lukes Chelsea	9/4	9/4	9/4	2	9/4
Serendipitous Lady	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Beach Point	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Likleman	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
Monks Mead	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Sneaky Blinder	9	9	9/1	9	9
Makuri	25	20	22	20	20
Battleofbaltimore	40	33	33	33	33
First Encounter	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Serendipitous Lady

18.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Monks Mead

14.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

St Lukes Chelsea

13.4

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Likleman

10.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Beach Point

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Battleofbaltimore

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

Sneaky Blinder

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Makuri

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

First Encounter

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
St Lukes Chelsea Top Rated	58	62	54
Beach Point	58	62	25
Sneaky Blinder	58	64	27
Battleofbaltimore	58	61	—
Makuri	57	65	—
Serendipitous Lady	56	66	43
Likleman	56	64	24
Monks Mead	56	62	47
First Encounter	45	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Likleman	21d ago	Fit
St Lukes Chelsea	22d ago	Fit
Serendipitous Lady	22d ago	Fit
Beach Point	22d ago	Fit
First Encounter	23d ago	Fit
Sneaky Blinder	26d ago	Fit
Battleofbaltimore	28d ago	Fit
Makuri	29d ago	Fit
Monks Mead	55d ago	Fresh