Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

12:37

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Enpassant Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	134	—	039332	69	82	65	7d	—	—	-10	25.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Demoted after first past the post at Newcastle last week; strong chance of compensation
4 (1)	Royal Tapestry Brown J:James Doyle T:Charlie Johnston	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	5852	67	81	62	6d	—	—	-8	16.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Beaten a head on nursery debut over C&D six days ago; but may need to progress again
1 (5)	Summit Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	137	b	32465	72	77	-	24d	—	—	-6	13.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Not beaten far in a better nursery at York last time; not to be underestimated on AW debut
3 (2)	Quickfire Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	133	—	518625	68	77	-	52d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Lingfield turf winner in June, but not built on it in nurseries; dam dual Polytrack winner
5 (7)	Fly Pass Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	129	—	274427	64	76	68	11d	—	—	+5	7.9	8.00/1	33 3%
0-8; not bred for the longer trip on the dam's side and is beginning to look exposed
6 (4)	Asian Tide Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	0584	63	76	54	12d	—	—	+1	4	8.00/1	33 3%
Creditable fourth on nursery debut last time but needs to take another step forward
7 (3)	Clear Justice Bay J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Gary Moore	J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Gary Moore	114	p	088962	49	75	47	28d	—	—	+3	5.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Second at Brighton last time, but this is a better race and he is 3lb out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Enpassant	5/4	11/8	11/8	11/8	5/4
Royal Tapestry	5/2	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Summit	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Quickfire	11	10	11	11	11
Fly Pass	33	25	28	28	28
Asian Tide	25	28	28	28	33
Clear Justice	50	33	40	40/1	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Enpassant

25.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.2 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Royal Tapestry

16.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.6

5/2

3rd

Summit

13.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Quickfire

12.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.1

Fly Pass

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Clear Justice

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Asian Tide

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Summit	72	77	—
Enpassant	69	82	65
Quickfire	68	77	—
Royal Tapestry	67	81	62
Fly Pass	64	76	68
Asian Tide	63	76	54
Clear Justice	49	75	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Royal Tapestry	6d ago	Quick return
Enpassant	7d ago	Quick return
Fly Pass	11d ago	Quick return
Asian Tide	12d ago	Quick return
Summit	24d ago	Fit
Clear Justice	28d ago	Fit
Quickfire	52d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.