Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

11:37

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 24.55s (slow by 2.55s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mount Mogan (GB) Kevin Stott · Laura Mongan	11/2	Won
2nd	Hold The Press (IRE) Liam Wright · J R Jenkins	16/1	1.25
3rd	Nubough (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Mark Pattinson	9/4F	1
4th	Equiami (GB) Marco Ghiani · Philip McBride	17/2	1
5th	Optimal Sinn (IRE) Charles Bishop · Michael Madgwick	100/1	1
6th	Run Cmc (IRE) David Probert · Patrick Chamings	9/1	.5
7th	Lady Of Nepal (GB) Cieren Fallon · Tony Carroll	125/1	1.5
8th	Luxy Lou (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Adrian Wintle	13/2	1.25
9th	Hersilia (GB) Jim Crowley · Charles Hills	5/2	.75
10th	Gintini (IRE) George Rooke · Laura Mongan	40/1	4.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Hersilia Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	132	—	8-9472	52	68	-	54d	—	—	-19	8.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
0-8 but ran well when second at Ffos Las last time and form since boosted; respected
1 (8)	Nubough Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	137	t	767323	57	71	55	26d	—	—	-9	17.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has run well at Chelmsford the last twice; drops into a 0-55 for the first time on the AW
4 (12)	Luxy Lou Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Adrian Wintle	J:Billy Loughnane T:Adrian Wintle	134	—	143189	54	67	25	33d	—	—	-2	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two wins this year including over C&D; latest effort can be excused; shortlisted
3 (2)	Run Cmc Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	135	v	267504	56	69	44	11d	—	—	-5	4.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not shown much since the summer and achieved little when fourth over C&D 11 days ago
2 (6)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	135	p	503057	55	69	57	84d	—	—	-4	4.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
23lb lower than when winning over C&D early last year, but more out than in since
NR (3)	White Mist Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	129	t	374525	50	67	50	27d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has run with credit the last twice, but more needed if she is to make it 14th-time lucky
6 (7)	Hold The Press Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:J R Jenkins	J:Liam Wright(7) T:J R Jenkins	129	—	0-0710	49	66	55	47d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
100-1 winner over C&D in September, but little to get excited about otherwise
9 (1)	Equiami Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Philip McBride	J:Marco Ghiani T:Philip McBride	128	—	317096	49	66	57	10d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.25/1	14 7%
5lb below his winning mark, but four attempts since don't suggest he can take advantage
NR (4)	Deep Spirit Bay J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	125	tb	773100	46	69	33	38d	—	—	+4	6.7	9.75/1	40 3%
14th-time lucky at Yarmouth in August, but twice well held since; needs a turnaround
10 (11)	Lady Of Nepal Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	126	—	545000	47	66	23	33d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Some ability on second start but heavy defeats otherwise; drops in trip; watch market
8 (10)	Optimal Sinn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Michael Madgwick	J:Charles Bishop T:Michael Madgwick	128	p	5680	49	63	16	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Well held in all four starts and not hard to oppose
12 (9)	Gintini Bay J:George Rooke T:Laura Mongan	J:George Rooke T:Laura Mongan	125	p	-44740	46	61	38	33d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Unplaced all 11 starts; this trip more suitable but opposed all the same

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hersilia	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Nubough	9/4	9/4	2	9/4	9/4
Luxy Lou	6	5	5	5/1	11/2
Run Cmc	15/2	8	8	8	8
Mount Mogan	17/2	8	8	8	8
White Mist	7	7	13/2	7	7
Hold The Press	16	16	16	16	16
Equiami	11	14	14	14	14
Deep Spirit	40	28	28	28	SP
Lady Of Nepal	50	66	66	66	66
Optimal Sinn	80	80	80	80	80
Gintini	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nubough

17.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 8 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Luxy Lou

10.5

OR: 1 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Hersilia

8.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

Deep Spirit

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.8

White Mist

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Mount Mogan

4.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Run Cmc

4.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Equiami

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Hold The Press

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Lady Of Nepal

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Optimal Sinn

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Gintini

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nubough	57	71	55
Run Cmc	56	69	44
Mount Mogan	55	69	57
Luxy Lou	54	67	25
Hersilia	52	68	—
White Mist	50	67	50
Hold The Press	49	66	55
Equiami	49	66	57
Optimal Sinn	49	63	16
Lady Of Nepal	47	66	23
Deep Spirit	46	69	33
Gintini	46	61	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Equiami	10d ago	Quick return
Run Cmc	11d ago	Quick return
Nubough	26d ago	Fit
White Mist	27d ago	Fit
Optimal Sinn	27d ago	Fit
Luxy Lou	33d ago	Fit
Lady Of Nepal	33d ago	Fit
Gintini	33d ago	Fit
Deep Spirit	38d ago	Fit
Hold The Press	47d ago	Fresh
Hersilia	54d ago	Fresh
Mount Mogan	84d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.