MTC Additive Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Chepstow

16:25

Date 2023-11-08

Distance 2m11y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,614

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Rocking Man Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Half-brother to a French hurdle winner; stable does well in bumpers; market may guide
3	Jacobin Grey J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Out of a French hurdle winner; top stable has excellent bumper strike-rate
2	I See The Sea Brown J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	156	—	2	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	10	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well-bred 4yo; bought for £160,000 soon after promising Irish point debut in May
5	Mount Gay Run Bay J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Attractive pedigree, but riding arrangements suggest Jacobin is the stable's main hope
1	Catch Him Derry Bay J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Half-brother to a fair Irish hurdler; in good hands; no surprise if he features
7	The Cypriot Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
58,000euros 3yo; out of a half-sister to Stayers' Hurdle winner More Of That
NR	King Roly Bay J:James Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter Bowen	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	3.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Out of a bumper/3m hurdle winner; others are more enticing on paper

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rocking Man	15/8	2	2	2	2
Jacobin	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
I See The Sea	4	7/2	4	4	7/2
Mount Gay Run	6	6	6	6	13/2
Catch Him Derry	10	10/1	10	10	10
The Cypriot	12	12	12	12	14
King Roly	25	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

I See The Sea

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Rocking Man

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

3rd

Jacobin

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

King Roly

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.9

Mount Gay Run

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Catch Him Derry

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

The Cypriot

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rocking Man	—	—	—
Jacobin	—	—	—
I See The Sea	—	—	—
Mount Gay Run	—	—	—
Catch Him Derry	—	—	—
The Cypriot	—	—	—
King Roly	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rocking Man	—	—
Jacobin	—	—
I See The Sea	—	—
Mount Gay Run	—	—
Catch Him Derry	—	—
The Cypriot	—	—
King Roly	—	—