Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)

Dundalk (AW)

15:45

Date 2023-11-08

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Storm Eric Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	144	t	090041	67	73	57	7d	—	—	-6	23.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Hit with an extra 8lb for a narrow win here last Wednesday, may remain competitive
3 (14)	Skontonovski Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	141	v	260552	64	78	54	5d	—	—	-8	15.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Every chance after a recent short head second over 1m, most of his best form at that trip
NR (16)	Hero Of The Hour Bay J:TBC T:G A Kingston	J: T:G A Kingston	132	b	412004	55	77	62	12d	—	—	-3	7.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Second reserve, all three wins have come over 6f at this venue, good effort here on latest
NR (15)	Thunder Canyon Bay J:TBC T:Luke Comer	J: T:Luke Comer	124	t	7/6758	47	73	-	116d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Third reserve, best run was over 1m1f on turf on penultimate start, 7f may not be ideal
11 (3)	Jazzy Dancer Bay J:Luke McAteer T:W J Martin	J:Luke McAteer T:W J Martin	129	—	634340	52	77	-	67d	—	—	-4	5.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Generally dependable this season, had a valid excuse for disappointing Navan performance
7 (8)	Circles Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Anthony McCann	J:Gary Carroll T:Anthony McCann	132	tb	748005	55	81	66	7d	—	—	-4	3.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Back-to-back C&D wins in February, signs of a return to form when fifth here last week
5 (7)	Indiana Grey Grey J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	139	tb	234723	62	73	57	47d	—	—	+6	11.8	2.50/1	11 9%
Four wins and six places from 32 starts at this venue, good runs over 1m last twice
2 (5)	Notforalongtime Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Laura Hourigan	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Laura Hourigan	142	p	462890	65	77	26	27d	—	—	+1	7	3.25/1	14 7%
Dual 1m course winner, runner-up in a 1m claimer here in February, unwise to rule out
8 (2)	Master Garvey Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	132	—	462320	56	74	-	8d	—	—	+4	9.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Generally consistent between March and June, chance if excused last week's poor turf run
9 (4)	My Little Tip Bay J:J M Sheridan T:James McAuley	J:J M Sheridan T:James McAuley	130	tb	540000	53	80	64	12d	—	—	-3	2.1	3.75/1	16 6%
All three wins came on turf in Britain in September 2021, no sign of that standard lately
14 (6)	Theriverrunsdeep Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Seamus G O'Donnell	J:James Ryan(5) T:Seamus G O'Donnell	124	p	707005	47	79	62	7d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Three-time sprint winner here in 2021, fair fifth behind Storm Eric over C&D last week
NR (13)	Flag High Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	124	—	006-00	47	75	18	47d	—	—	-8	3.1	12.25/1	50 2%
First reserve, towards the rear here in September, ran poorly on only turf start this year
13 (17)	Red Cymbal Bay J:Shane Foley T:James McAuley	J:Shane Foley T:James McAuley	124	tb	607339	47	79	54	19d	—	—	+2	4.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Has managed two placed efforts in recent months but his long losing sequence may continue
12 (1)	Memorial Verse Bay J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	129	ht	884480	53	73	61	19d	—	—	-1	1.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Much too free here last month on first run after a break, twice fourth over C&D in March
4 (12)	El Padre Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:R P Burns	J:Seamie Heffernan T:R P Burns	140	—	010/0-	63	73	-	644d	—	—	+1	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Laytown winner for Adrian Murray in 2021, two poor runs at this venue, off for a long time
6 (9)	Zero Fighter Bay J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	134	—	144007	58	79	43	56d	—	—	+1	2.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Won a claimer at Roscommon in May, questions to answer after his three most recent start
10 (11)	Devious Dreamer Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Peter McCreery	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Peter McCreery	129	tb	0/00-0	52	75	-	243d	—	—	0	0.7	62.25/1	250 0%
Poor form for several different trainers since 2021 Gowran win, last of 14 here in March

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Storm Eric	2	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Skontonovski	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Hero Of The Hour	9	9	10	9	SP
Thunder Canyon	SP	10	11	10	SP
Jazzy Dancer	7	7	7	15/2	8
Circles	12	11	12	12	11/1
Indiana Grey	11	11	11	11	11
Notforalongtime	12	12	11	12	14
Master Garvey	14	18	16	16	16/1
My Little Tip	16	16	14	16	16
Theriverrunsdeep	16	14	12	14	14/1
Flag High	50	50	40	50	50
Red Cymbal	33	33	28	33	33
Memorial Verse	33	33	28	33	33
El Padre	40	33	28	40/1	40/1
Zero Fighter	66	66	50	66	66
Devious Dreamer	250	250	200	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Storm Eric

23.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Skontonovski

15.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Indiana Grey

11.8

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

Master Garvey

9.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.4

Hero Of The Hour

7.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

Notforalongtime

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Jazzy Dancer

5.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Red Cymbal

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.7

El Padre

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Circles

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Thunder Canyon

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Flag High

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Zero Fighter

2.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

My Little Tip

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Theriverrunsdeep

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Memorial Verse

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Devious Dreamer

0.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Storm Eric	67	73	57
Notforalongtime	65	77	26
Skontonovski	64	78	54
El Padre	63	73	—
Indiana Grey	62	73	57
Zero Fighter	58	79	43
Master Garvey	56	74	—
Hero Of The Hour	55	77	62
Circles	55	81	66
My Little Tip	53	80	64
Memorial Verse	53	73	61
Jazzy Dancer	52	77	—
Devious Dreamer	52	75	—
Thunder Canyon	47	73	—
Theriverrunsdeep	47	79	62
Flag High	47	75	18
Red Cymbal	47	79	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Skontonovski	5d ago	Quick return
Storm Eric	7d ago	Quick return
Circles	7d ago	Quick return
Theriverrunsdeep	7d ago	Quick return
Master Garvey	8d ago	Quick return
Hero Of The Hour	12d ago	Quick return
My Little Tip	12d ago	Quick return
Red Cymbal	19d ago	Fit
Memorial Verse	19d ago	Fit
Notforalongtime	27d ago	Fit
Indiana Grey	47d ago	Fresh
Flag High	47d ago	Fresh
Zero Fighter	56d ago	Fresh
Jazzy Dancer	67d ago	Fresh
Thunder Canyon	116d ago	Long break
Devious Dreamer	243d ago	Long break
El Padre	644d ago	Long break