Betway Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Exeter

Exeter

13:45

Betway Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-10

Distance 2m161y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,168

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Diamond Ri Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	154	—	1-	-	-	-	225d	—	—	-24	27.9	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Sauntered home in a Warwick bumper and there's some substance to that form
1	Asta La Pasta Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	160	—	41-1	-	118	-	33d	—	—	-5	16.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
The horse he beat at Uttoxeter ran well last weekend; respected despite the penalty
5	Insurrection Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	154	t	F14-	-	-	-	215d	—	—	-7	11.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Impressed in his point; choked when 4th in a bumper and had wind surgery since
8	Midnight Soldier Chestnut J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	154	—	1/2	-	112	-	174d	—	—	+6	14.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Modest bumper winner; remote second on switch to hurdling after an absence
9	Royal Jewel Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	154	—	7-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	6.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Just missed out in his second Irish point but that form could be working out better
11	Breccia Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	147	t	37	-	107	78	15d	—	—	0	3	9.75/1	40 3%
Doesn't look up to winning a novice hurdle judged on her initial attempts
15	Spinnaker Blue Grey J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	147	—	6	-	86	50	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Half-sister to three winners but didn't show a lot in a novice at Newton Abbot (heavy)
6	Iris Des Issards Black J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	154	—	363-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	4.8	31.00/1	125 1%
Wouldn't be the obvious answer after what he showed in Irish points
14	Mollie De Mai Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	147	—	P	-	-	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Always out the back and was finally pulled up in a maiden at Wincanton 12 days ago (16-1)
10	Storming Nelson Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	154	—	5P-65	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten 20l+ in his completed points and difficult to make much of a case here
4	I Love You Sivola Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Helen Nelmes	J:Paul O'Brien T:Helen Nelmes	154	t	6823-7	102	116	-	182d	—	—	+12	13.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Only 1-23 when trained in France and his sole success came over fences last December
2	Alfie Sharp Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Richard Mitford-Slade	J:Bryan Carver T:Richard Mitford-Slade	154	—	60-	-	52	17	196d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Tailed off in two maiden hurdles last season when sent off at lengthy odds
7	Irlandais Bay J:David Noonan T:Kayley Woollacott	J:David Noonan T:Kayley Woollacott	154	—	7-78	-	86	57	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
66-1 when tailed off in a maiden at Wincanton three weeks ago
12	Fox Wallace Bay J:James Best T:Ella Pickard	J:James Best T:Ella Pickard	147	—	U8	-	-	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
33-1 when beaten a long way on heavy ground at Newton Abbot (bumper)
13	Gorcombe Fizz Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	147	—	P	-	-	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Jumped moderately before pulling up in a fast-ground maiden here a month ago (50-1)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Diamond Ri	5/6	10/11	1	10/11	10/11
Asta La Pasta	10/3	11/4	11/4	3	3
Insurrection	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Midnight Soldier	10	9	9	9	17/2
Royal Jewel	14	14	14	14	16
Breccia	40	33	33	33	33
Spinnaker Blue	150	100	100	100	100
Iris Des Issards	100	100	100	100	125
Mollie De Mai	80	125	125	125	125
Storming Nelson	200	150	125	125	125
I Love You Sivola	200	125	125	125	125
Alfie Sharp	500	250	250	250	200
Irlandais	500	300	300	300	200
Fox Wallace	66	250	250	250	200
Gorcombe Fizz	500	300	300	300	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Diamond Ri

27.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 17.9

10/11

2nd

Asta La Pasta

16.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Midnight Soldier

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 2.2

I Love You Sivola

13.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Insurrection

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 6.3 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Royal Jewel

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Iris Des Issards

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.3

125

Breccia

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Spinnaker Blue

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Mollie De Mai

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Storming Nelson

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Fox Wallace

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Alfie Sharp

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Irlandais

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Gorcombe Fizz

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
I Love You Sivola	102	116	—
Diamond Ri	—	—	—
Asta La Pasta	—	118	—
Insurrection	—	—	—
Midnight Soldier	—	112	—
Royal Jewel	—	—	—
Breccia	—	107	78
Spinnaker Blue	—	86	50
Iris Des Issards	—	—	—
Mollie De Mai	—	—	—
Storming Nelson	—	—	—
Alfie Sharp	—	52	17
Irlandais	—	86	57
Fox Wallace	—	—	—
Gorcombe Fizz	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mollie De Mai	12d ago	Quick return
Breccia	15d ago	Fit
Spinnaker Blue	20d ago	Fit
Fox Wallace	20d ago	Fit
Irlandais	22d ago	Fit
Gorcombe Fizz	29d ago	Fit
Asta La Pasta	33d ago	Fit
Midnight Soldier	174d ago	Long break
I Love You Sivola	182d ago	Long break
Alfie Sharp	196d ago	Long break
Insurrection	215d ago	Long break
Diamond Ri	225d ago	Long break
Royal Jewel	—	—
Iris Des Issards	—	—
Storming Nelson	—	—