Boost Your Acca At BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

15:42

Date 2023-11-10

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 15.95s (slow by 5.55s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Filly One (IRE) Harry Russell · Geoff Oldroyd	40/1	Won
2nd	Shy Hi Bye (IRE) Kevin Stott · William Haggas	11/8F	0.1
3rd	Leveret (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	2/1	2.25
4th	Disclosure (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	15/2	0.2
5th	Mariners Way (GB) Clifford Lee · Julie Camacho	7/1	1.5
6th	Passamezzo (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	16/1	.5
7th	Groove Inn (GB) Dougie Costello · Mark Walford	150/1	2
8th	Forty Pockets (IRE) P J McDonald · Edward Bethell	10/1	1.5
9th	Polyphema (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	100/1	.5
10th	On The Sherbet (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	150/1	3.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (12)	Shy Hi Bye Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:William Haggas	J:Kevin Stott T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	48	-	25d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Hindered by racing alone at Yarmouth; may take a big step forward
7 (1)	Leveret Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	2	-	88	48	52d	—	—	-18	15.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising second in C&D contest 52 days ago; the clear pick of the runners with experience
8 (6)	Mariners Way Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Clifford Lee T:Julie Camacho	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Sister to her connections' 5f/6f winner (including 2yo debut) Riversway; interesting
2 (11)	Disclosure Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Advertise half-sister to two winners; in good hands; one of the likelier types
5 (9)	Forty Pockets Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Profitable half-sister to three winners; bred to be useful; needs a close look
10 (8)	Passamezzo Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Showcasing half-sister to two winners; in good hands; debutante to consider
1 (5)	Alfa L'Angel Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
9,000gns yearling; Tasleet half-sister to three winners; market instructive
4 (2)	Filly One Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
£16,000 yearling; by Calyx; dam has a modest record as a broodmare thus far
11 (3)	Polyphema Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	128	—	9	-	60	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Down the field in 7f contest here 11 days ago
9 (10)	On The Sherbet Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	128	—	80	-	37	-	43d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Always behind in a couple of Pontefract events
6 (4)	Groove Inn Brown J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	128	—	6	-	54	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Modest sixth in C&D maiden ten days ago
NR (7)	Double N'Tonic Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
1,000euros yearling; one of two newcomers for this stable; market informative

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shy Hi Bye	5/4	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Leveret	5/2	9/4	17/8	9/4	2/1
Mariners Way	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Disclosure	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Forty Pockets	9	9	17/2	9	9
Passamezzo	20	18	14	18	18
Alfa L'Angel	33	33	33	33	33
Filly One	40	33	40	40	33
Polyphema	150	125	100	125	100/1
On The Sherbet	150	150/1	150	200	150/1
Groove Inn	200	200	200	200	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Leveret

15.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10.7

5/2

2nd

Shy Hi Bye

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Mariners Way

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Disclosure

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Forty Pockets

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Passamezzo

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Alfa L'Angel

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Filly One

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Groove Inn

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

On The Sherbet

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Polyphema

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Double N'Tonic

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shy Hi Bye	—	48	—
Leveret	—	88	48
Mariners Way	—	—	—
Disclosure	—	—	—
Forty Pockets	—	—	—
Passamezzo	—	—	—
Alfa L'Angel	—	—	—
Filly One	—	—	—
Polyphema	—	60	—
On The Sherbet	—	37	—
Groove Inn	—	54	—
Double N'Tonic	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Groove Inn	10d ago	Quick return
Polyphema	11d ago	Quick return
Shy Hi Bye	25d ago	Fit
On The Sherbet	43d ago	Fit
Leveret	52d ago	Fresh
Mariners Way	—	—
Disclosure	—	—
Forty Pockets	—	—
Passamezzo	—	—
Alfa L'Angel	—	—
Filly One	—	—
Double N'Tonic	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.