Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle – Kempton

Kempton

16:00

Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-13

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Tapley Grey J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Suzy Smith	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Suzy Smith	168	—	216-37	110	115	81	21d	—	—	+1	20.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to hit top gear this season but has claims if judged on Sandown sixth in April
6	Jack The Savage Bay J:Alice Stevens(3) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Alice Stevens(3) T:Laura Horsfall	164	h	354-U1	106	117	104	14d	—	—	+3	18.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark at Huntingdon last month; only 3lb higher here and still has low mileage
5	Bucephalus Bay J:Joe Anderson T:Neil Mulholland	J:Joe Anderson T:Neil Mulholland	164	—	324/	106	114	-	—	—	—	+9	23	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won on the Flat on stable debut in April and could have untapped potential over hurdles
7	Angel's Dream Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	158	—	133-1	100	104	80	183d	—	—	+15	25.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Just did enough to win Plumpton maiden in May; should have more to offer in handicaps
3	Polyphonic Bay J:Liam Harrison T:James Owen	J:Liam Harrison T:James Owen	168	h	522-P3	110	106	54	41d	—	—	+7	18.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Very encouraging third on last month's stable debut and 3lb lower here; high on the list
10	Sanitiser Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	152	—	3543-	94	111	81	—	—	—	+9	17	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Struggled in good-quality Flat handicap on stable debut but could be on good hurdle mark
1	John Betjeman Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:Mark Gillard	J:Fergus Gillard T:Mark Gillard	170	b	12-225	112	112	95	25d	—	—	+11	17.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at best last month but generally consistent over hurdles and on the Flat this year
11	Night Bear Chestnut J:Toby Wynne T:Tony Carroll	J:Toby Wynne T:Tony Carroll	143	—	0/5/86	85	109	80	20d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran well on recent handicap debut at Hereford and may still have a bigger effort in him
9	Alioski Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	155	t	493-20	97	114	80	—	—	—	+9	13	4.75/1	20 5%
Second off today's mark in the summer but comes here after two poor runs (hurdle/Flat)
4	Ace Rothstein Bay J:Tabitha Worsley T:Dylan Cunha	J:Tabitha Worsley T:Dylan Cunha	167	—	872-	109	107	80	—	—	—	+16	21.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Close second in Huntingdon novice hurdle in March but subsequent Flat form is rather mixed
12	Flamenco De Kerser Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Richenda Ford	J:Harry Kimber T:Richenda Ford	142	—	PPP5-7	84	107	75	32d	—	—	+4	10.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Had very poor campaign last season but recent reappearance run not devoid of promise
8	Mammies Boy Bay J:James Smith(5) T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:James Smith(5) T:Jonjo O'Neill	157	—	823-P	99	114	64	13d	—	—	+8	13.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Placed in two of his qualifying races but was pulled up on recent seasonal/handicap debut
13	African Sun Bay J:Harriet Tucker(5) T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	J:Harriet Tucker(5) T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	142	p	P85556	84	97	87	62d	—	—	+8	8.7	74.75/1	300 0%
This year's form off lowly marks is very uninspiring and he's 16lb wrong here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tapley	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Jack The Savage	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Bucephalus	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Angel's Dream	17/2	7	13/2	15/2	7
Polyphonic	11/2	8	8	8	15/2
Sanitiser	10	10	10	10	11/1
John Betjeman	14	12	11	12	14/1
Night Bear	12	12	12	14	14
Alioski	20	16/1	16	16	18
Ace Rothstein	14	18	18	18	18
Flamenco De Kerser	14	14	14	16	16
Mammies Boy	16	14	14	16	16
African Sun	300	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Angel's Dream

25.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

17/2

2nd

Bucephalus

OR: 14 Form: 5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Ace Rothstein

21.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Tapley

20.7

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Jack The Savage

18.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Polyphonic

18.3

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

John Betjeman

17.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Sanitiser

OR: 11 Form: 3.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Mammies Boy

13.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Alioski

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Night Bear

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Flamenco De Kerser

10.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

African Sun

8.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
John Betjeman	112	112	95
Tapley	110	115	81
Polyphonic	110	106	54
Ace Rothstein	109	107	80
Jack The Savage	106	117	104
Bucephalus	106	114	—
Angel's Dream	100	104	80
Mammies Boy	99	114	64
Alioski	97	114	80
Sanitiser	94	111	81
Night Bear	85	109	80
Flamenco De Kerser	84	107	75
African Sun	84	97	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mammies Boy	13d ago	Quick return
Jack The Savage	14d ago	Fit
Night Bear	20d ago	Fit
Tapley	21d ago	Fit
John Betjeman	25d ago	Fit
Flamenco De Kerser	32d ago	Fit
Polyphonic	41d ago	Fit
African Sun	62d ago	Fresh
Angel's Dream	183d ago	Long break
Bucephalus	—	—
Sanitiser	—	—
Alioski	—	—
Ace Rothstein	—	—