Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-13

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (12)	Lenormand Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	137	—	61-	-	94	-	458d	—	—	-20	25	0.25/1	1/1 50%
Won at Newmarket when last seen 15 months ago, beating a smart stablemate; leading claims
7 (3)	Running Star Chestnut J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	32	-	86	72	23d	—	—	-14	16.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Went very close over 9.5f here last time; dam won over C&D; respected on favourable terms
2 (5)	Light Speed Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	135	—	61	-	85	64	24d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won going away at Newcastle last time; open to further progress; one of the main players
5 (6)	Katstar Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
60,000gns yearling; by Sea The Stars out of Listed winner; looks the pick of the newcomers
8 (4)	Youm Jameel Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	130	—	6	-	64	-	277d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Seemed to need his sole run for Kevin Ryan; sold for 13,000gns since; open to improvement
10 (7)	Femme Patronne Grey J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	128	—	45	-	75	16	11d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Flat efforts at about 1m4f suggest this shorter trip will suit; could go well
4 (11)	Lewis Barnes Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
1,000gns yearling; best watched on belated debut, unless the market suggests otherwise
6 (1)	Metal Beau Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Brazen Beau half-brother to a 1m AW winner; stable not noted for debut scorers
12 (8)	Cathaya Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	125	—	70	-	60	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Well beaten in a couple of 1m contests
3 (2)	Gregorian Diamond Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Max Young	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Max Young	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Form dipped markedly on latest bumper start; others preferred
9 (10)	Apple Gin Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Sue Gardner	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Sue Gardner	128	—	0/4	-	-	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Has no worthwhile form
11 (9)	Mazaminsky Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Adam West	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Adam West	128	—	00/	-	-	-	1168d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Tailed-off last in two races in 2020 for Frank Bishop

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lenormand	5/6	10/11	1/1	10/11	10/11
Running Star	15/8	15/8	13/8	15/8	15/8
Light Speed	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Katstar	12	12	12	12	12
Youm Jameel	18	18	18	20	20
Femme Patronne	66	50	40/1	50	50
Lewis Barnes	50	125	125	125/1	125
Metal Beau	150	150	200	200	200
Cathaya	250	200	200	200	200
Gregorian Diamond	500	150	200	200	200
Apple Gin	500	200	200	200	200
Mazaminsky	500	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lenormand

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15

1/1

2nd

Running Star

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Light Speed

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Katstar

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Youm Jameel

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Femme Patronne

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Lewis Barnes

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Metal Beau

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Cathaya

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Gregorian Diamond

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Apple Gin

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Mazaminsky

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lenormand	—	94	—
Running Star	—	86	72
Light Speed	—	85	64
Katstar	—	—	—
Youm Jameel	—	64	—
Femme Patronne	—	75	16
Lewis Barnes	—	—	—
Metal Beau	—	—	—
Cathaya	—	60	—
Gregorian Diamond	—	—	—
Apple Gin	—	—	—
Mazaminsky	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Femme Patronne	11d ago	Quick return
Apple Gin	11d ago	Quick return
Running Star	23d ago	Fit
Light Speed	24d ago	Fit
Cathaya	28d ago	Fit
Youm Jameel	277d ago	Long break
Lenormand	458d ago	Long break
Mazaminsky	1168d ago	Long break
Katstar	—	—
Lewis Barnes	—	—
Metal Beau	—	—
Gregorian Diamond	—	—