BetMGM - Stay Golden With Responsible Play EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-11-13

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Pickwell Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	3	-	81	46	11d	—	—	-26	17.2	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Did well to finish third in C&D event 11 days ago, having been slowly away and pulled hard
5 (6)	Cerulean Summer Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Dylan Cunha	J:Marco Ghiani T:Dylan Cunha	128	—	3	-	79	36	39d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Promising third in 7f AW contest at Chelmsford; should cope with drop to 6f; major player
6 (4)	Graceful Mary Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	128	—	3	-	72	59	11d	—	—	-10	8.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ran to an ordinary RPR at Chelmsford but shaped encouragingly; may improve
1 (11)	Inner Temple Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
55,000euros yearling; stable has respectable record with 2yos; newcomer to consider
8 (10)	Lunar Rocks Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ollie Sangster	J:Rob Hornby T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	4.25/1	18 6%
20,000euros 2yo; Ten Sovereigns half-sister to five winners; interesting debutante
12 (9)	Twilight Melody br/gr J:Hayley Turner T:Joseph Parr	J:Hayley Turner T:Joseph Parr	128	—	66	-	75	30	28d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Signs of ability in two races but gives the impression handicaps will be her thing
9 (3)	Marmoga Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Cam Hardie T:Ismail Mohammed	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
14,000gns yearling; stable is 0-17 with 2yos this year; others preferred
4 (12)	Ravenswell Bay J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	9.75/1	40 3%
Brother to a Belgian winner; yard not associated with 2yo scorers
7 (8)	Katie G Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	06	-	55	38	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Held by Graceful Mary on Chelmsford running
2 (1)	Maveric's Magic Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	133	—	8	-	17	-	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	49.75/1	200 1%
Soundly beaten in 6f AW maiden at Newcastle
11 (5)	Showmeagoodtime Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
£5,000 2yo; by Showcasing and the first foal of a 6f winner; check the betting
10 (7)	Pearl Of Rowdown Chestnut J:William Cox T:Mark Usher	J:William Cox T:Mark Usher	128	—	94	-	50	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Poor RPRs in a couple of sprint contests

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pickwell	11/10	11/10	10/11	11/10	11/10
Cerulean Summer	3	3	3	11/4	3
Graceful Mary	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Inner Temple	17/2	17/2	17/2	8	9
Lunar Rocks	12	16	16	14	18
Twilight Melody	20	22	22	25	25
Marmoga	25	33	33	33	40
Ravenswell	40	25	25	22	22
Katie G	100	80	80	80	80
Maveric's Magic	150	200	200	33	200
Showmeagoodtime	250	200	200	200	200
Pearl Of Rowdown	500	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pickwell

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Cerulean Summer

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Graceful Mary

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Inner Temple

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Lunar Rocks

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Twilight Melody

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ravenswell

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Marmoga

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Maveric's Magic

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

200

Katie G

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Showmeagoodtime

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Pearl Of Rowdown

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pickwell	—	81	46
Cerulean Summer	—	79	36
Graceful Mary	—	72	59
Inner Temple	—	—	—
Lunar Rocks	—	—	—
Twilight Melody	—	75	30
Marmoga	—	—	—
Ravenswell	—	—	—
Katie G	—	55	38
Maveric's Magic	—	17	—
Showmeagoodtime	—	—	—
Pearl Of Rowdown	—	50	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pickwell	11d ago	Quick return
Graceful Mary	11d ago	Quick return
Katie G	11d ago	Quick return
Maveric's Magic	13d ago	Quick return
Pearl Of Rowdown	21d ago	Fit
Twilight Melody	28d ago	Fit
Cerulean Summer	39d ago	Fit
Inner Temple	—	—
Lunar Rocks	—	—
Marmoga	—	—
Ravenswell	—	—
Showmeagoodtime	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.