Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-11-13

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	—	421241	52	67	57	14d	—	—	-11	30.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Consistent and comes here in top form; 2lb rise for latest Newcastle win not excessive
2 (2)	Coast Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	134	—	721782	51	68	53	21d	—	—	-5	15	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In-form front-runner who is well drawn to attack; set to go well once more
3 (9)	One For The Ladies Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	132	v	933093	49	66	44	17d	—	—	-9	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D win off 1lb higher in July; good run in unfavourable circumstances latest; contender
5 (1)	Dodgy Bob Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Mullineaux	131	b	001685	48	63	39	21d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Three wins this year; ran well from a wide stall latest & better drawn today; contender
11 (3)	Tommytwohoots Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	129	v	207795	46	55	36	13d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Poor strike-rate and recent efforts only modest; new headgear not enough to tempt
10 (7)	Ma Famille Chestnut J:Oliver Timms(7) T:Clive Cox	J:Oliver Timms(7) T:Clive Cox	129	—	207868	46	61	55	21d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Maiden who hasn't progressed since moving into handicaps; needs to find something extra
4 (4)	Macho Mania Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	131	—	790357	48	62	48	12d	—	—	-1	2.4	6.00/1	25 4%
13-race maiden who isn't progressing; other pace to contend with here; opposable
6 (11)	Dalglish Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	h	993-00	48	66	-	45d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Not threatened in two runs back from a long absence; down in weights but risky
7 (6)	Flip Mode Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John O'Shea	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John O'Shea	130	—	878009	47	61	14	51d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Missed 2022 and yet to get going this year; usual tongue-tie absent today; lots to prove
8 (12)	Mai Alward Grey J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	129	—	036000	46	59	55	13d	—	—	-1	1.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Tumbled down the weights but only run to form once for this yard; too much to prove
9 (10)	Sir Sidney Smith Brown J:Charles Bishop T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Charles Bishop T:Steph Hollinshead	129	—	656	46	53	-	55d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Minor promise in three qualifying runs; this more suitable but still not easily fancied
12 (5)	Mick Says No Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Attwater	129	—	464799	46	61	26	17d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Well held in two AW handicaps after a summer break; not easily recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bernie The Bear	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	11/8
Coast	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
One For The Ladies	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Dodgy Bob	9	9	9	9	9
Tommytwohoots	14	16	16	16	16
Ma Famille	22	25	20	16	25
Macho Mania	25	22	22	25	22
Dalglish	28	28	22	28	28
Flip Mode	40	28	25	28	28
Mai Alward	33	33	33	33	33
Sir Sidney Smith	50	50	40	50	50
Mick Says No	66	66	40	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bernie The Bear

30.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Coast

OR: 0.3 Form: 9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

One For The Ladies

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Dodgy Bob

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Macho Mania

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Tommytwohoots

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mai Alward

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Ma Famille

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dalglish

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Flip Mode

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Sir Sidney Smith

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Mick Says No

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bernie The Bear	52	67	57
Coast	51	68	53
One For The Ladies	49	66	44
Dodgy Bob	48	63	39
Macho Mania	48	62	48
Dalglish	48	66	—
Flip Mode	47	61	14
Tommytwohoots	46	55	36
Ma Famille	46	61	55
Mai Alward	46	59	55
Sir Sidney Smith	46	53	—
Mick Says No	46	61	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Macho Mania	12d ago	Quick return
Tommytwohoots	13d ago	Quick return
Mai Alward	13d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	14d ago	Fit
One For The Ladies	17d ago	Fit
Mick Says No	17d ago	Fit
Coast	21d ago	Fit
Dodgy Bob	21d ago	Fit
Ma Famille	21d ago	Fit
Dalglish	45d ago	Fit
Flip Mode	51d ago	Fresh
Sir Sidney Smith	55d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.